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This post was edited by abramicus at 2014-2-23 05:19|
The Ukraine situation is not black and white. The eastern half of Ukraine feel more secure, economically and politically, being aligned with Russia. The western half, with the EU. But the media phenomenon is non-Ukrainian. It reflects western interests and intervention in Ukraine, by alterning how the world perceives Ukrainian protesters and the Ukrainian government, and very importantly, how Ukrainians perceive both sides, because they eventually will vote with their fists, their feet, or their ballots, while western countries will vote with their aids, loans, and trade incentives. The protesters cannot overthrow the government without the support of the Ukrainian people - their protest is at best a proposition to do so. The government cannot remain in power without the support of the Ukrainian people - their forces need resources and reservists which can be withheld by the people through civil disobedience. How the Ukrainians feel about the protesters (are they really trying to help them live better) and the government (is it really trying to give them a better life), will determine how much support they give to either side.
The parade of photos and protesters is a way to influence the Ukrainian and the international public opinion.
Put to the test, neither the protesters or the government probably have enough resources to guarantee the security of the livelihoods of the Ukrainian people. This is where Russia and the EU will have a big contest. Will Ukraine end up being another Greece, living on the largesse of a larger political bloc in exchange for its political alliance, only to be jettisoned in the end because it could not afford to pay? Or, will Ukraine retain its independence of both, and end up living within its means, and prospering from trade with both the EU and Russia? The latter should be the goal of the Ukrainian people. Siding with either the EU or with Russia is a false choice. Remaining neutral and non-aligned is a third choice that makes the most sense for a country with such great geopolitical potential. Avoiding violence in the streets is therefore the patriotic thing to do, while hotheaded clashes, even if it makes for good photo-ops, is actually the unpatriotic thing to do.