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This post was edited by abramicus at 2013-5-27 13:57|
China in a "show of strength" managed to get North Korea to agree to resume the Six Way Talks without preconditions. But apparently, China's "strength" is insufficient to get the other three to agree to resume Six Way Talks, until North Korea first denuclearizes (i.e., first surrenders). If this is the fullest extent of China's power, it is hardly impressive given that squelching North Korea is about as simple as cutting off its own left hand. Power that is limited to one's own turf is not power at all, but a necessity to survive. To use that power to dismember oneself is worse than having no power at all. Thus, China has to put its own weight and national interest into its clamor for a resumption of the Six Way Talks and require all parties to attend without any preconditions.
In reality, they will not agree, regardless. Each benefits from the intransigence of the other. The West hopes to use the talks not as means to achieve peaceful denuclearization of North Korea, but as a means to instigate distrust and friction between China and North Korea, with the aim of causing the North Korean regime to collapse from within. North Korea hopes to use the talks to buy time to become more effective as a nuclear power, and thus prevent its being attacked or put under seige, its final way of breaking the tightening circumvallation being a direct invasion of South Korea, using its resources to survive thereafter for many more decades hence. If China does not realize this, it is too naive to bring about true lasting peace on the Korean Peninsula.
But if China is for real, it will demand that a quid pro quo framework be established, that North Korea will completely and permanently denuclearize in exchange for a 100% guarantee that it will not be attacked, will not be sanctioned or beseiged, and that no other parties shall seek or become a nuclear power apart from the US, Russia and China. There are no pre-conditions or post hoc demands. The treaty will be based on verifiable simultaneous initiation, progress and completion of their pledges.