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This post was edited by abramicus at 2013-4-21 13:43|
We read a lot about how quarrelsome North Korea has become an albatross around the neck of China, and that China should punish, cut off, or even encourage others to punish North Korea. All of this may make sense from the point of view of China trying to appease the very countries that have encouraged Japan to steal its sovereign islands of Diaoyudao, its sovereign islands in the South China Sea, and even its sovereign land of Tibet and Xinjiang. China does not want anybody to rock the boat it wants very much to be riding in.
But China knows that North Korea has been protecting China by virtue of its location, even if not by virtue of its desire to do so. Without North Korea, Beijing would be one of the most dangerous places for China to put its seat of government, as it could be invaded from the East through Korea, South through the Yellow Sea, and North through Mongolia. And it has only one direction of retreat, west to Xian. So, for all the trouble that North Korea has given China, China has no choice but to protect the North Korea that in reality is as much protecting China as China is protecting North Korea.
This quid pro quo exchange was actually quite even. Each side needed the other side. Each side offered indispensable protection to the other side. Therefore, it is unlikely for China to ever abandon North Korea.
That being the case, the best solution for the present predicament is for North Korea and the Alliance to come to an agreement of peace for disarmament, which is, that North Korea, like Japan, shall be allowed to have peaceful use nuclear reactors to create energy, while accepting UN inspection to ensure it does not make nuclear weapons. In return, the Alliance should agree to not invade, besiege, or sanction this hermit kingdom. No regime change by force. The pretext that it must be changed by force is contradicted by the fact that it would have changed itself far quicker by peace and trade. Containment and conflict makes many industries wealthier, but they do not achieve lasting peace any faster or cheaper.