Author: abramicus

TAIWAN CAN AVOID BEING A VICTIM OF OTHERS ONLY BY TAKING OVER DIAOYUDAO [Copy link] 中文

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Post time 2012-12-4 08:19:00 |Display all floors

RE: TAIWAN CAN AVOID BEING A VICTIM OF OTHERS ONLY BY TAKING OVER DIAOYUDAO

This post was edited by sansukong at 2012-12-4 07:37
abramicus Post time: 2012-12-3 18:03
THE TACTICS OF DELAY AND OF VICTORY - EXPLAINED.

China found herself surprisingly weaker than sh ...

If China has become what China is, at its present state ............ i.e.

是不是因为中国是腐败因此是弱。
或,
是不是因为中国是弱因此是腐败?



Then Taiwan should do what Taiwan thinks it is best what to do, with China following from behind.
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Post time 2012-12-4 15:58:37 |Display all floors
This post was edited by abramicus at 2012-12-4 16:13
sansukong Post time: 2012-12-4 08:19
If China has become what China is, at its present state ............ i.e.

是不是因为中国是腐败因此 ...

It is reasonable for Taiwan to wait for China to take the lead, as China is stronger by far.  But some situations do not require strength as they require boldness.  One example is the famous Empty Castle Strategy (kong chengji) where a stronger enemy can be repulsed by a weaker one which shows unusual courage.  The other situation is after Zhege Liang had passed away, he pre-arranged for a wooden statue like himself to be shown at a distance to the armies of Caocao, which then thought they were in a trap and retreated.  These examples do not fully demonstrate the uniqueness of the Diaoyudao situation, because they were bluffs.  Here, there is no bluff.  It is just a matter of proper timing of moves which make Japan fall into an inferior position all by itself.

If China does not want or dare to make the move, Taiwan should.  Why?  Because it can only win, not lose.

Take this main sequence of moves:

Taiwan lands a thousand civilians with plain-clothed guards on Diaoyudao.  Can the Japanese shoot them?  No, because under the watchful eyes of China, if they do, they will never leave Diaoyudao alive.  Can the Japanese arrest them?  No, because they outnumber the Japanese by far, and can manually do combat with them, and even capture the Japanese guards.  Can the Japanese send in reinforcements by Ospreys and parachuted troops?  They can try, but China will have every reason to send in her own special forces.  If there is a fight, with Chinese civilians on the ground, Japan can only lose its moral ground to China, if even just one Chinese civilian were injured, let alone killed.  Japan is doomed to lose the fight over Dioayudao as long as it has forces stationed on it.  Does not matter if the Taiwanese land tomorrow or a week from tomorrow.  The structure of the conflict is such that whoever is on the island will lose.

So, why not take it over now?

Fear of the unknown and lack of confidence in one's own ability to foresee counter-moves by the enemy, yes, and understandable.  But, if the unknown is the only fear, the solution is simply to have more courage.  Take Diaoyudao now, and see how easy it is to defeat the Japanese who are sitting ducks waiting to be captured by citizens' arrests and brought to Taiwan or China for sentencing.  They are doomed if they fight, and they are doomed if they don't fight.  This is the easiest win in military history, and all it needs is courage to do it.  In this game, where the real forces are amassed outside of the theater of war, he who fires the first bullet loses.  Japan cannot fire any bullets without losing the war and the island.

The key is to use civilians, and use them in large numbers, like using water to wash away dirt.


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Post time 2012-12-4 18:12:57 |Display all floors
sansukong Post time: 2012-12-4 08:19
If China has become what China is, at its present state ............ i.e.

是不是因为中国是腐败因此 ...

China as a whole is not weak nor corrupt.  Some elements are corrupt, not China.  Some elements are weak, not China.  

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Post time 2012-12-5 03:21:59 |Display all floors

RE: TAIWAN CAN AVOID BEING A VICTIM OF OTHERS ONLY BY TAKING OVER DIAOYUDAO

abramicus Post time: 2012-12-4 17:12
China as a whole is not weak nor corrupt.  Some elements are corrupt, not China.  Some elements ar ...
China as a whole is not weak nor corrupt.

In times of national conflicts with other nations, when the leaders of the country and its armies have to hide behind its civilians, in my humble opinion, it is pure cowardice. Period. They don't and can't earn anyone's respect, mine included!
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Post time 2012-12-5 15:16:59 |Display all floors
This post was edited by abramicus at 2012-12-5 15:20

THIS HORSE IS A WINNER!

Congratulations to President Ma Yingjeou for sticking to principles in negotiating with the Japanese over fishing rights at Diaoyudao.  Perfectly understandable to insist that Japan may share in the fishing rights if it is willing to accept the sovereignty of the Republic of China over Diaoyudao.  Now that the Japanese have broken off the talks it asked Taiwan to attend, the ROC is free to land as many fishermen, tourists, and activists (with at least a hundred kungfu masters) on Dioayudao as it wants.

Next phase, the retaking of Tiaoyutai - Kung Fu Style.

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Post time 2012-12-10 20:33:47 |Display all floors
sansukong Post time: 2012-12-3 12:41
If China loses Diaoyudao, China should also drop all her other island claims in the South China S ...

Chinese flotilla patrols waters near Diaoyu Islands
Xinhua | 2012-12-10 15:53:16
By Agencies



A flotilla of the People's Liberation Army (PLA) Navy patrolled waters near the Diaoyu Islands on Monday after returning from a training exercise in the west Pacific.

The patrol marked the first time for China to confirm its naval operations in the waters near the Diaoyu Islands on the very day when the Navy warships conducted such patrol.

The flotilla, consisting of the DDG-136 Hangzhou and DDG-139 Ningbo destroyers, as well as the two frigates FFG-525 Ma'anshan and FFG-529 Zhoushan from the Navy's Donghai Fleet, passed through the Miyako Strait and entered the West Pacific for a routine training exercise on Nov. 28.

After finishing a series of training operations, the flotilla sailed through a strait near the Yonaguni and Iriomote Islands and arrived in waters surrounding the Diaoyu Islands Monday morning.

According to a Xinhua reporter aboard the frigate Zhoushan, the four warships patrolled the waters in formation under rough sea conditions and weather.

Qiu Yanpeng, commander of the task force and also the Donghai Fleet's vice commander, said the Diaoyu Island and its affiliated islets have been part of China's inherent territory since ancient times.

It is legitimate for China's Navy to patrol in waters under Chinese jurisdiction and it is the Navy's responsibility to safeguard the country's maritime territory and interests, Qiu said.

Monday's patrol in the waters near Diaoyu Islands was the third of its kind conducted since Japan stirred up tensions with China over the islands earlier this year.

Sources with the Ministry of National Defense said a seven-warship task force from the Navy's Beihai Fleet patrolled the waters near the Diaoyu Islands on Oct. 16.

In late September, Defense Ministry spokesman Yang Yujun confirmed that Chinese naval ships carried out patrols and military training in the waters earlier that month.

A statement issued by the ministry on Monday said that China will continue naval training in the West Pacific.

The training exercise in the West Pacific was a routine exercise conducted in accordance with the Navy's annual training plan and concerned countries should respect the Chinese Navy's freedom of navigation and aviation in line with international law, it said.
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Post time 2012-12-12 13:33:41 |Display all floors
This post was edited by abramicus at 2012-12-12 13:35

TIME FOR CHINA TO TAKE ON THE JAPANESE WEHRMACHT

By showing off its naval prowess to China through large scale military exercises, Japan is threatening to pulverize the People's Liberation Navy in China's own sovereign territory of Diaoyudao.  

This kind of challenge cannot be left unanswered, or China will not have any maritime sovereign territory left.

At some moment, China and Japan will face off.  The moment of truth is coming closer every day.  

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