Author: 468259058

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Post time 2011-5-16 08:51:02 |Display all floors
Originally posted by blueskies88 at 2011-5-16 08:44
[COUGH}

So many numbers!

Work Force Growth Curve?

Any Technology based modifiers?

Change in agronomic to manufacture modifier effects?


Work force  growth curve..I have finished one based on the data from NBS of China.

I posted in another thread.


What's
"Any Technology based modifiers?

Change in agronomic to manufacture modifier effects?"
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Post time 2011-5-16 08:54:46 |Display all floors
Originally posted by blueskies88 at 2011-5-16 08:45
Why does it compare to an old relatively stable system?
.

People often compare one of the runners in foot races with the number 1.

Here I compare China measured by GDP with U.S
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Post time 2011-5-16 09:10:23 |Display all floors

Reply #8 468259058's post

Growth in Technology affects on data

Shift from farm to manufacturing affect on data

Is any of that kind of analysis available

You are making a comparison to a topped-out growth with one that is advancing along a hyperbolic growth curve instead of comparing similar points, right? A similar growth happened in developed countries with the advent of industrialization -- comparing those points in growth are very different time points, so an analysis of affecting factors influencing the growth curve are key elements, right? You are looking at wherre you will eventually be when looking at an old stabilized system of growth, no?
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Post time 2011-5-16 09:13:15 |Display all floors

Reply #9 468259058's post

It is not a race though it is a growth!

For one the race is over, for the other it is somewhere along the track, right?

A fully matured individual is in a maintenance stage, a young individual may be in a growth spurt of some kind -- you are interested mostly in the factors of that growth spurt not in where it will be maintained when it finally natures, right?
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Post time 2011-5-16 10:24:29 |Display all floors
Originally posted by blueskies88 at 2011-5-16 09:10
Growth in Technology affects on data

Shift from farm to manufacturing affect on data

Is any of that kind of analysis available
.

Hehe.. Yes, The growth rate of GDP would be going down as China shift from manufacturing industry to service industry, especially in east China.
One assumption of the comparison is the fixed growth rate of GDP.

Of course we could adopt one model of such growth rate of GDP curve in the comparison. And the calculation would be a little complicated.

But this comparison is a beginning for the complicated comparison involving with dynamic growth rate model based on the major components of GDP.

[ Last edited by 468259058 at 2011-5-16 10:29 AM ]
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Post time 2011-5-16 10:33:48 |Display all floors

Reply #12 468259058's post

in other words, it is a fairly worthless comparison
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Post time 2011-5-16 10:42:30 |Display all floors
Originally posted by blueskies88 at 2011-5-16 09:13
It is not a race though it is a growth!
For one the race is over, for the other it is somewhere along the track, right?

I don't think so.
time:
From a perspective of the past 10 years, from a perspective of the past 100 years, from a perspective of the past 1000 years, ...

components:
Agriculture based, manufacturing based, service industry based,

Whatever, we could make the comparison measured by adding more and more factors with more and more models.

However much factors are taken into account, there are still many dynamic factors, such as the latest Japanese nuclear crisis.

But such comparisons could still help us know what the present China is, who he is.
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