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Originally posted by chinadaily at 2007-3-2 20:11
written by Overpopulation 2007-03-02 09:06
Chinese people must stop overpopulating China. It can cripple China's advancement.
If China cannot feed, educate, and employ a ...
You seem to think that a person is a burden, not a resource. It is PEOPLE that creates GDP. Look at South Korea. If China had only 500 million people, China would naturally have a lower GDP than today. In the future, the ratio of old people to working-age people will be very skewed, creating a depressing situation both for many old people who need care, but might not get it, the economy as a whole who could've used money on science and research instead of huge sums on pensions and health, and also for businesses who can't find the needed labor force and will suffer on the balance sheet as a result (And thus GDP). So it is a lose, lose, lose situation. One-child policy is a disastrous policy for the future. Chinese people are not from Mars, chinese people act and behave like other normal people, and they don't need this one-child policy to have fewer babies. In this modern world, we have contraception, urbanization, individualism, female higher education.
The person above me says alot of truth, but it is not true as is said above that Taiwan province has a fertility rate of 1,57. Taiwan's fertility rate is 1,1 children per woman, the lowest in the world (Population reference beureau). The authorities tries to increase it, but it is impossible. The same will be true for for the mainland in the future. We see the same happening in the mainland too, where people in the citites have fewer and fewer children, well belowe replacement rate. This WILL be disastrous for China in the future, make no mistake about it. Every country with low fertility rates today tries to increase it, because they know that the next generation will suffer as a result. The countries that today are the oldest countries, like Germany, Japan and Italy, all have very sluggish growth. They don't want to have such low birth rates and rapid aging, but they can't do anything about it. This will be the case with China too. China will never again have above replacement fertility rate and will forever have a population decline. Unlike other countries, immigration won't help in China either to increase the labor force. China will be old and grey, and fade away. The US and India will be young and vibrant, and lead the world.
[ Last edited by uligen at 2007-3-3 05:10 AM ]