This post was edited by lilianzhang at 2018-1-17 15:54|
Where do you think China-US relation goes in 2018?
Donald Trump however has introduced a new concept: strategic schizophrenia. One moment he is according Chinese president Xi Jinping the status of `a good guy,’ the next he is threatening trade war, and slapping conditions on Chinese investment coming to the U.S. One day he welcomes Chinese companies Ali Baba and Huawei to set up more projects across the U.S, the next he is tweeting that China needs to do more on North Korea or it will come across as a lame duck.
China and the U.S. overlap everywhere, they have 90 official strategic dialogues, the Chinese still hold over a trillion U.S. treasury bonds, and unlike the USSR, China is subtler – not exporting an ideology, just a more self-interested set of messages, to protect its own causes back in Asia.From late 2018, Trump will start to face mid-term elections.
China has spent forty years avoiding any appearance of directly confronting the U.S. From Deng onwards, the mission has been to make sure the U.S. does not feel threatened, and that China does not get entangled in a final battle for supremacy. But under a president who does not respect the usual boundaries of predictable, or diplomatic behaviour, this paradigm could be tested to destruction. U.S. China relations in 2018 are entering a critical stage.
Every effort should be made to maintain the status quo. Stumbling into direct confrontation would be a disaster for the world, not just for the two countries directly involved. Nothing should make us complacent about what 2018 holds.