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FORMAT FOR SELF-ARBITRATION BY PHILIPPINES AND CHINA [Copy link] 中文

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Post time 2016-7-25 13:45:15 |Display all floors
This post was edited by abramicus at 2016-7-25 13:51

1.  China does not recognize the legitimacy of the PCA ruling, and considers it as a violation of Article 298 of UNCLOS, and thus is null and void.

2.  The Philippines will insist it is a binding and final court document the abolishes all of China's historical claims to its islands in the South China Sea.

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PAUSE:  iF SO, THE TALKS MAY ADJOURN.
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3.  China wishes to present its historical claims to the islands of the South China Sea, and demonstrate that under UNCLOS, when a country builds up its reef, including a light house, that that reef is now considered an island for all purposes, and therefore has an EEZ of 200 nautical miles around it that it can claim.

4.  The Philippines would not accept any historical claim of China, based on the PCA ruling that none of them apply to its islands.,

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PAUSE:  IF SO, THE TALKS COULD ALSO ADJOURN
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5.  China wishes to discuss with the Philippines how they can share the mineral and marine resources of the EEZ's of China that overlap the EEZ's of the Philippines based on the islands China considers historical parts of her sovereign territory.

6.  The Philippines refuses to accept EEZ's based on islands whose sovereign ownership is based on historical evidence, because the PCA ruling has outlawed it.

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PAUSE:  IF SO, THE TALKS MAY END HERE.
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7.  China can say it wants to have talks with the Philippines but delays it indefinitely.

8.  The Philippines can say it wants to have talks with China but also delays it indefinitely.

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PAUSE:  FORMAL TALKS WILL ALWAYS BE ON THE TABLE BUT NEVER INITIATED.
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9.  Informal talks, without reporting to the NSC as Ramos wanted and as Duterte thought was a good idea, and without China's MOFA updating it to the press, can now proceed, where everything can be discussed, bargained, and settled.  This will include only Duterte, Ramos and an interpreter, plus Xi, a Special Envoy of Xi, and an interpreter, plus a seargent at arms to shut the door and keep the meetings completely informal, unofficial, and unreported.

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PAUSE:  AN AGREEMENT BETWEEN CHINA AND THE PHILIPPINES WILL BE ANNOUNCED BY XI AND DUTERTE.
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10.  There is no other way, forget it!


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Post time 2016-7-25 13:49:59 |Display all floors
WHY IS THIS PROTOCOL THE ONLY ONE THAT IS GOING TO WORK?  

BECAUSE ONLY PRESIDENTS DUTERTE AND XI HAVE AN UNAVOIDABLE DUTY TO SETTLE THE DISPUTE PEACEFULLY - ALL THE REST HAVE THEIR OTHER AGENDAS, OTHER BOSSES TO PLEASE, AND OTHER ACCOLADES TO WORK FOR.

FOR DUTERTE AND XI, THIS IS THEIR DUTY, THEIR ACCOLADE, AND THEIR REPORT CARDS, NONE OTHER'S.

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Post time 2016-7-25 15:29:01 |Display all floors
The best example of this type of high level sensitive diplomacy is how Kissinger arranged for the visit of Nixon to China.  He had to bypass every nose out there sniffing for something to bite and take home with.  He had to hide from every pair of ears that is listening for something to benefit their own credentials, their patrons, and their own constituencies.

Just as Kissinger and Zhou set up the bridge, only Nixon and Mao can cross it together.

This was also the way the Cold War was ended by Reagan and Gorbachev, in front of a fireplace.

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