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THE SIMPLE SOLUTION TO THE KOREAN GORDIAN KNOT [Copy link] 中文

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Post time 2016-3-1 14:47:37 |Display all floors
Now that there are at least 6 parties to the Korean denuclearization and peace talks, and no consensus is forthcoming, while on the other hand, war seems ever more likely to occur any day, the complexity of the dynamics of such a multi-player game can be disorienting.  But the end result is really simple.  If one wishes to win, he must remain intact up to the second to the last round.  By the same logic, to win the place in the second to the last round, he must remain intact up to the third to the last round.  And so forth, resulting in the obvious conclusion that he must remain intact now, and in the next round, and in the next, next round, et cetera.  

In short, avoidance of being in a position where one has to be at war, except in the last round, is the only winning strategy.

To achieve this result, however, requires a degree of humility and self-discipline that may prove to be the Achilles Heel of all but the last two contestants.  This Gordian Knot, therefore, can only be solved by a determination to be at peace with every power, and to remain capable of defeating any other power at the same time.  Blessed are the meek, indeed, for they shall inherit the earth.  This is not just an exhortation.  It is the key to survival.


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Post time 2016-3-1 22:54:28 |Display all floors
Your logic is that if one wishes to win,  they must not lose.  

Brilliant!!!!

I know the secret to living forever,  just dont die.  

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Post time 2016-3-2 14:44:37 |Display all floors
Incedius420 Post time: 2016-3-1 22:54
Your logic is that if one wishes to win,  they must not lose.  

Brilliant!!!!

You go ahead and jump into war, OK?  Saves everyone the ordeal and the pain.  Hehehe.

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Post time 2016-3-2 14:51:32 |Display all floors
This post was edited by abramicus at 2016-3-2 14:52

PRIDE IS CHINA'S OWN UNDOING - IN THE OVERVALUATION OF THE YUAN, IN THE UNDERVALUATION OF THE KOREAN PENINSULA, AND IN THE ATTEMPT TO SHOW HOW AVANT GARDE AND "SOPHISTICATED" CHINESE ECONOMISTS ARE WHEN N REALITY THEY ARE MERELY PLAY ACTING GENIUS WHILE FOLLOWING THE MOST ABSURD ECONOMIC THEORIES ABOUT CONSUMING MORE THAN WHAT CHINA  PRODUCES.

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Post time 2016-3-2 15:14:55 |Display all floors
In the matter of the UN sanctions on North Korea, China needs not pen the resolution.  It merely needs to abstain from the voting, and thus forgo its veto over the sanctions.  Being laid back is the right approach to this tricky situation.

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Post time 2016-3-4 09:56:33 |Display all floors
This post was edited by abramicus at 2016-3-4 10:00

IF there is anything the Kim dynasty excels in, it is in taking pre-emptive actions, as it did in starting the First Korean War - pre-empting China's reunification of Taiwan by 65 years or more.

NOW with the UN sanctions sure to cause a gradual collapse of its current system, starting with its political elite at the top, the handwriting is now visible on the wall.  Without China's support, North Korea is sure to collapse.

ALTHOUGH NK is known for its bombastic propaganda style, its current threat to start the Second Korean War, in contrast to its previous threats, does not appear to be mere saber-rattling.  It fits hand in glove with NK's strategic modus operandi.  South Korea will do well to brace for a calamity, not because it did anything wrong, but because the ultimate objective of the Kim dynasty is to reunite the two Koreas under its unitary rule, and when that goal is made more distant, the regime will move toward it, as in the First Korean War, its standing order from its founder was, is and will be, to go "ALL IN".



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Post time 2016-3-8 14:01:54 |Display all floors
THOSE WHO DO NOT REMEMBER THE LESSONS OF HISTORY ARE DOOMED TO REPEAT THEM - SANTAYANA.

Much as China would like to let the Korean crisis simmer down, it cannot avoid being dragged into the next Korean War.  It is the Yalu principle all over again.  Except this time, the collapse of the Kim regime is likely to be followed, if not preceded, by the erection of a missile shield in South Korea that China feels deeply troubled by.  If the Yalu is the line drawn in the sand, then the missile shield is the line drawn in the sky.  Breach of either would drag China (and possibly Russia) back into the fray, and this seems almost inevitable.

April Fool's Day would not be fun, and would be more hair-raising than the Hainan Island Incident of April 1, 2001.

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