Views: 1254|Replies: 4

IRAN DEAL STALLING [Copy link] 中文

Rank: 8Rank: 8

Post time 2015-7-6 01:02:27 |Display all floors
While Iranian diplomats project the image of joyous celebration at having achieved a deal, the reality is the last part of the deal is the hardest to overcome, which requires unannounced instantaneous inspections of its military bases, which is the only way that IAEA could truly verify its compliance with the terms of the agreement.  No verification means no compliance.  No compliance means no deal.

Therefore, rather than celebrating that an Iran Deal is almost done, we should be cautious in realizing that it really has not progressed much at all, except having passed the deadline.

The subtance of the deal remains unagreed upon.



Use magic tools Report

Rank: 8Rank: 8

Post time 2015-7-6 06:59:21 |Display all floors
THE GREAT UNRAVELING

The fact that the Iranian diplomats are making a show of joyous celebration, as if the deal has been closed, and that they have done their part, means Iran is not really serious about making the critical concession that the US wanted, which is unbridled instant inspection of Iran's military bases by the IAEA.  Kerry sounded more sombre and cautious about whether a deal is going to be struck, and logically, if one side is not sure about a deal, there is no reason for the other side to presume it would concede.  Thus, the side making the show of success is the less believable side.  

This has nothing to do with the merits or demerits of the Iranian position, just a logical analysis of the news regarding the endgame of the Iran negotiations.  It seems that Iran will not concede, and the US will not accept the deal without such a concession.  Therefore, one should expect the news shortly that the deal has collapsed.

This will add more pressure to the markets in the morning . . . China, Greece, and now Iran . . . without a mechanism for fail-safe verification, the is no mechanism for an agreement either.  The Senate will surely oppose it.  And if so, Obama cannot just accept it.  But if Iran has agreed to unrestricted instantaneous inspoection of its mlitary bases by IAEA, then the deal can be said to be done.  The question is, did Iran agree to such inspections?

Use magic tools Report

Rank: 8Rank: 8

2016 Most Popular Member 2015 Most Popular Member 2014 Most Popular Member

Post time 2015-7-6 10:16:38 |Display all floors
This is normal

Use magic tools Report

Rank: 8Rank: 8

Post time 2015-7-7 10:57:36 |Display all floors
Iran deal is stuck.

Use magic tools Report

Post time 2016-1-11 19:26:34 |Display all floors
Reminder: Author is prohibited or removed, and content is automatically blocked

Use magic tools Report

You can't reply post until you log in Log in | register

BACK TO THE TOP
Contact us:Tel: (86)010-84883548, Email: blog@chinadaily.com.cn
Blog announcement:| We reserve the right, and you authorize us, to use content, including words, photos and videos, which you provide to our blog
platform, for non-profit purposes on China Daily media, comprising newspaper, website, iPad and other social media accounts.