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This post was edited by abramicus at 2015-5-31 18:29|
PELOPONNESIAN WAR . . . PUNIC WAR . . . TO THE PACIFIC WAR?
From a historical perspective, the final attempt by Japan to "leave Asia", i.e., become a Western-style imperial power, ended in failure, to both conquer the rest of Asia as Western powers have previously done, ever since Spain and Portugal went the full nine yards to claim every piece of land and every island as theirs, simply because they were the LAST to discover them, centuries if not thousands of years behind their real Asian discoverers, developers and inhabitants, and to drive out the Western powers that Japan wanted to emulate but which have no real intention of sharing their loot with their unwanted child.
Diaoyudao is a choice cut of sashimi used to bait the Japanese into biting into China's flesh one more time.
Rather than this being the beginning of another era of Japanese militarist dominance in Asia, any realist Japanese patriot could see, beyond the veil of greed and mirage of grandeur, that this last act of violence will terminate its self-appointed job as the executioner of the Chinese people, which even now is supporting the Japanese economy to the tune of hundreds of billions of dollars of forfeited export earnings, through unilateral overvaluation of the Yuan even while Japan is devaluing the Yen. Diaoyudao, called "Senkaku" by the Japanese, was clearly stolen from China during the Sino-Japanese War of 1894-1895. It was supposed to be ceded back to China by virtue of the Japanese Instrument of Surrender of 1945 in accordance with the Potsdam Proclamation of 1945 and the Cairo Declaration of 1943. Instead, it is now being offered to Japan, by its last conqueror, as a prize for serving as the front line invasionary force against China in the next world war. In this role, Japan now has its historical roles reversed, because in going against a modernized China, Japan will have the proverbial "Chance of a Chinaman" instead. Japan can be assured that whatever happens to China after its next war with China, Japan will never know the aftermath, for better or for worse.
WWI is not the proper model of the present situation. Rather, it is the Punic Wars, with Carthage the original dominant naval power, and Rome an emerging power without a navy. In the course of 118 years, from 264 BC to 146 BC, Rome became the Ancient World's dominant naval power, which in order to prevent another Carthaginian invasion of Rome, finally learned the art of PRO-ACTIVE DEFENSE, which is to remove its implacable enemy not from its own territory, but from the face of the earth itself. The recent White Paper on Active Defense by China shows the maturing of China as a world power, finally aware that the security of its people and territory depends not only on its ability to defend their persons and property, but fundamentally, on its ability to take the war to its attackers and deliver to them the same destruction that they wished on her. Rome, under Scipio, finally understood what constitutes its defense needs.
In the First Punic War (264 BC - 241 BC), the land power of Rome overcame the naval power of Carthage, over an island called Sicily. The Roman Navy was initially soundly defeated in 260 BC at the Battle of Lipari Islands. Rome then rapidly expanded its navy, and by 241 BC had become the dominant naval power of the Western Mediterranean as well. Carthage lost Sicily and had to pay Rome an annual indemnity (this, China has not yet achieved, but its First Punic War equivalent with Japan has not yet ended, as Diaoyudao/Senkaku demonstrated).
The Second Punic War (218 BC - 201 BC) saw the re-emergence of Carthage as a land power in Iberia, led by Hannibal, who first took Saguntum, and then crossed the Alps and laid siege to Rome, devastating the Roman army that before was invincible in the fields. But Rome was supported by its local allies, and the battle for Rome settled into a stalemate where logistical support, rather than field power, was most important. The success of Rome's defensive strategy owes to the leadership of Fabius Maximus, but it took the talents of Scipio Africanus who learned how to fight the Carthaginians from his base in Hispania, to adopt the same strategy of Hannibal, i.e., to attack the home base of his enemies, just as Hannibal had done to Rome in 218 BC. And thus, over the objections of Fabius Maximus, Scipio Africanus, returning to Rome after defeating the brother of Hannibal in Iberia, Hasdrubal, in 206 BC at the Battle of Ilipa in Spain, proposed to the Roman Senate that Rome send him with troops to attack Carthage instead. With only about 7,000 troops, Scipio landed on Utica in 203 BC, but aided by the Carthaginian defector, the Numibian Massinissa, who once commanded the entire cavalry of the Carthaginian forces in Iberia in the Battle of Ilipa, he routed the combined Carthaginian, Spanish and Numibian army, 30,000 strong, in the Battle of the Great Plains in the same year. This forced Hannibal to return from Rome to face Scipio and Masinissa (Scipio's secret weapon, who understood the strengths and weaknesses of the Carthaginian cavalry that he himself trained before he defected to Scipio). Once again, using Hannibal's own tactics and a superior cavalry trained by the creator of the Carthaginian cavalry, himself, Masinissa, Scipio won over Hannibal at the Battle of Zama. The Carthaginian cavalry was only 4,000 strong, while the Roman cavalry at the Battle of Zama was 6,100 strong, led by Masinissa himself.
THIRD PUNIC WAR (149-146 BC): Masinissa later on was given the Kingdom of Numibia as reward, and from there, planned to take over Carthage eventually by gradual encroachment under the protection of Rome. This led to Rome sending Marcus Porcius Cato to Africa in 155 BC to mediate a dispute between Numibia and Carthage. Cato suspected the ambitions of Masinissa to take over Carthage and thence challenge Rome, as he once betrayed his previous master, Carthage, before. This led to the decision by Cato, and thence Rome, that Carthage should be destroyed, once and for all times, which was then the . . . THIRD PUNIC WAR (149-146 BC) . . . which is yet to unfold in Asia, hopefully not, but possibly even.
THOSE WHO IGNORE THE LESSONS OF HISTORY ARE DOOMED TO REPEAT IT. CHINA FORGAVE JAPAN WITHOUT ANY REPARATIONS. THIS IS UNHEARD OF IN ALL HISTORY. JAPAN SHOULD COUNT ITS BLESSINGS AND RECIPROCATE BY HONORING ITS PROMISE TO GIVE UP ALL THE ISLANDS AND TERRITORIES IT STOLE FROM CHINA AS STIPULATED IN THE CAIRO DECLARATION, INCORPORATED INTO THE POTSDAM PROCLAMATION, AND EMBEDDED IN ITS INSTRUMENT OF SURRENDER OF 1945. CHINA IS NOT, AS ITS MILITARISTS PORTRAY, UNFORGIVING, BUT RATHER, IT IS JAPAN THAT IS UNREPENTANT. IN TWO SINO-JAPANESE WARS, JAPAN HAS GOTTEN AWAY WITH MURDER AND LOOT. THE THIRD SINO-JAPANESE WAR, HOPEFULLY NEVER, WILL BE ENTIRELY DIFFERENT.