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Rules of Reciprocity Are Not All Equal [Copy link] 中文

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Post time 2013-12-2 03:33:00 |Display all floors
This post was edited by abramicus at 2013-12-2 04:07

One of the strongest arguments that Vice-President Biden will make for the US refusing to register with China about the intended flight paths of its military aircrafts is that the US, which invented ADIZ's, does not require it of foreign military aircrafts either, when they are within the US' own ADIZ.  Therefore, by reciprocity, China should not require it of US military aircrafts in China's East China Sea ADIZ.

China, on the other hand, can argue that it will submit to the US authorities the intended flight plans of all military aircrafts that enter any of the US' many ADIZ's, and that therefore, the US should do the same over the East China Sea.

Reality point #1, of course. is that each day there are dozens of US and Japanese military aircrafts flying through the East China Sea ADIZ of China, but each year, or rather each ten years, there is NO Chinese military aircraft entering ANY of the US ADIZ's.

Reality point #2, is China has a "no first strike" nuclear policy, but America does not.  China would have no reason to attack the US with nuclear weapons, while as the Guam nuclear Russian Roulette exercise showed, the US does, can, and had done a training exercise on with 2 B52's a week ago.  China has never sent any nuclear bomber or such types into any US ADIZ ever.

Reality point #3, China has no intention of picking a fight with America, even over Diaoyudao, but the US had hinted it may attack China on behalf of its Japanese "friends" (who remember them rather as mortal enemies every year when their top officials worship the likes of Togo, Yamashita, Yamamoto, and a whole slew of 14 Class A War Criminals, and remind each other of the Japanese "Alamos" of Hiroshima and Nagasaki, with unspoken anger at America to this day).

And the list could go on as to why the two rules of reciprocity cannot apply equally to two different realities.

At heart is the question of reciprocity of security, rather than mere reciprocity of flight plan reporting.  The US rules of reporting are realistic for the US to adopt, but unrealistic for China to use.  However, the US has every right to adopt the Chinese standards for its own ADIZ's if it wishes, even if only to Chinese military planes.  This would then be a rule of reporting that is both RECIPROCAL and REALISTIC.  

Now America can sleep well at night without worrying about a sneak Chinese Pearl Harbor attack, like what the Japanese did on December 7, 1941.

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Post time 2013-12-2 16:11:09 |Display all floors
It all comes down to negotiation skills. I am afraid the US is pretty good at it. The preparation is done, now is the time for US (and England) to make the kill. I hope China won't give anything away just like the last Ching dynasty did.

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Post time 2013-12-2 18:08:00 |Display all floors
This post was edited by abramicus at 2013-12-2 18:12
huaqiao Post time: 2013-12-2 16:11
It all comes down to negotiation skills. I am afraid the US is pretty good at it. The preparation is ...


The first step is to agree on the substance of the talks, and the only negotiation that will affect the course of events is for Japan to agree to sit down to negotiate peacefully with China over the sovereignty status of Diaoyu/Senkaku.  

The next step is to agree what to do with their ADIZ's overlap.  The rational thing to do is for China and Japan, and all other countries, to respect the ADIZ reporting requirements of both sides.

The third question to resolve immediately, for the time being, is that all aircrafts, and all ships, of all countries, shall not enter into the sovereign waters, land or airspace of Diaoyu/Senkaku for the next 12 months.

All other negotiations have no impact on the events that threaten to overtake them.  They can be interesting from a theoretical standpoint.  They may even be illustrative of certain supposedly advanced techniques of negotiation.  They are a total waste of valuable time.  Only fools would entertain them.

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