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Anyone who observes al-Assad's conduct must know that he will do anything within his reach to stop the tide. Some Western news agencies reported that al-Assad is now moving chemical weapons in his possession, according to spokesmen of the FSA in Turkey. This sounds as if the besieged al-Assad is seeking to create another Halabja, but this time in Damascus along the lines of the Sampson Option.|
Such qualitative operations, large-scale defections and the changing equation on the ground will force world powers to reconsider their stances and adopt a more positive and practical attitude to champion the Syrian people against al-Assad's wild killing machine. If the regime had the opportunity now, it would re-operate its killing machine in a manner fiercer than before, but this time with the additional motive of taking revenge and restoring its lost prestige.
At long last, good news has started to filter through from Damascus, and this marks a good start for the decisive battle taking place there. There is now a sense of optimism and the Syrian people alone can decide whether this sense will prevail. This, however, is conditional upon the FSA persisting with its operations all over Syrian territory and instigating civil disobedience in all governorates.
The Gaddafi regime in Libya collapsed abruptly as a result of the strategic operations near Bab al-Aziziyah after the rebels had entered Tripoli, and this is something that the FSA must imitate in Damascus. Of course, there is a big difference between the two cases: the Libyan operation was carried out thanks to strong NATO intervention, whereas the FSA relies primarily on its own capabilities and the overwhelming popular support it receives.
Ever since the start of the crisis, al-Assad adopted the security and military option and relied on Russian protection internationally, unlimited support from Iran, Iraq and Hezbollah, and also on the military potential of his army that persisted in killing unarmed people. However, the people promptly created their own self-defense through the FSA. Since Bashar al-Assad closed all the doors for a political solution from the outset, now he will certainly adopt a stance based on intransigence rather than logic, continuing with his security and military solution despite the major changes on the ground, or else he will flee the country.
The al-Assad regime cannot be compared to any other regime, as Gaddafi never had a genuinely powerful army with which he could kill his own people, despite all the other atrocities associated with his reign. The Al-Assad regime also cannot be compared to the old apartheid system in South Africa, as even though Syria is based on sectarian principles equal to the former racist model of South Africa, al-Assad is even wilder in his bloodshed, violence, and blind tyranny.
Getting rid of al-Assad and his regime will not be easy, but today it seems that gambling on the Syrian people was the right thing to do. The Syrian people reacted strongly to the situation that the regime forcefully tried to impose upon them, and they intensified their rejection by moving from peaceful protests to forming a free army that has undertaken various operations to protect civilians and target the regime’s army. The Syrian people seized every single opportunity to express their stances explicitly and clearly. When Mustafa al-Dabi [head of an Arab League observer mission] came in, the people did not react, and similarly when Kofi Annan came in, the people remained resolute. When the balance of international power tilted against the Syrian people, they imposed their own will on the ground.
A final indicator that the Syrian regime is on the verge of collapse can be seen in the rhetoric of Hassan Nasrallah, Bashar al¬-Assad’s ally, who bemoaned the recent loss of his comrades in arms, even though they have persisted in killing Syrian civilians. Nasrallah seemed sad and frustrated, and all his false slogans of resistance were exposed, even though they once deceived numerous Arab intellectuals. As Nasrallah flounders and Iran is being stifled economically, al-Assad is searching for a way to flee the country.