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Follows on from post 1:|
Many years ago, Imperial Japan, an extraordinary power staffed with extraordinary people, developed an ideology of the East Asian Co-Prosperity Sphere. Its purpose was to throw out unwanted European invaders and replace them with Asian governments in a coalition with Tokyo, under their indirect control.
Today, the very same thing is happening, but under the system in Peking rather than Tokyo. As soon as China announced that it was no longer pegging to the dollar (as if, today, that was even a relevant factor), Malaysia announced the same. As the yuan moves up and up, more and more Asian economies will hitch their wagon to this brilliant star.
Finally, the arrogant, execrable American capitalist and foreign policy hack will have a brake put on his murderous dreams.
As China’s empire grows, Russia will become its primary supplier of energy and technical knowledge. A new superpower will emerge to challenge American hegemony, one already stretched to the limit, and based on a population largely held together by drugs, the legal system, debt and threats.
Making matters more interesting is China’s interest in Africa. Africa is the land of untapped natural resources and a rather unremarkable population who simply cannot get its own act together.
China both has the means and money to treat African oil, diamonds, tin and fertile soil the very same way the U.S. has treated the same from Latin America and the Middle East. Many American policymakers are aware that this would be the final nail in the Regime’s coffin.
As per usual, the pompous Chris Smith (R-NJ), referred to China’s involvement in Africa as “helping to support Africa’s dictators” and, in a more candid moment “possible taking Africa’s resources for themselves.” I’ll let that one sink in for awhile. Not only has dictatorship delivered the goods about as well as “democratic” systems in Africa have, but the U.S. record in resource extraction as well as “supporting dictators” would take a library of volumes to record.
The recent “forgiveness” of African debt has everything to do with fears of China.
Of course, governments cannot forgive debts, only banks can. And I found it humorous that the major banking families in the world, all of whom owned some African debt, permitted politicians to take the credit–and the blame–while, as usual, remaining on the sidelines themselves.
However, the forgiveness of African debt is a rather cynical poly to counteract the influence of Peking on African politics. The overthrow of African “dictators” as now being considered by neocons has everything to do with neutralizing this influence.
Many of my readers have heard of Stratfor.com. They are a rather well respected, albeit elite and somewhat “official” sounding, resource on international politics. Their services are not free, and are designed to assist international investors in evaluating the political situation in various parts of the world.
Apparently, someone there has been reading my material, for there is a piece which, among other things, deals with Russia’s relations with China, specifically, the reasons why Russia cannot trust the Chinese, and how longings for a formal alliance against the west are ill-conceived.
Given the nature of Stratfor.com’s clientele, this conclusion can certainly shock no one.
However, I thought the arguments they put forth to be very good ones, and thus felt it necessary top comment upon them. Here is the paragraph dealing with this issue:
And while many Russians dream of a Chinese alliance against the West, China has been taking advantage of that mis-perception and preparing for a world in which Russia no longer matters. It is Beijing, not Moscow, which has been building rail lines and petroleum pipelines into Central Asia and acquiring Central Asian energy firms. It is Beijing, not Moscow, which is now pre-eminent in influence in North Korea. It is Beijing, not Moscow, which quietly sponsors an unofficial policy of encouraging migration of its citizens to resource-rich Russian Siberia. It is Beijing, not Moscow, which is purchasing component after component of Russian military technology as part of a broad-based modernization program. And it is Beijing, not Moscow, which likes to hold large-scale military maneuvers on the border named innocuous things like "Northern Sword."
Let me take this bit by bit:
“And while many Russians dream of a Chinese alliance against the West, China has been taking advantage of that mis-perception and preparing for a world in which Russia no longer matters.”
It is far from certain that China’s pursuit of its interests, either correct or not, can lead one to the conclusion that China wishes Russia no longer mattered. I suppose a strict realist would wish that no other country except one’s own actually mattered.
“It is Beijing, not Moscow, which has been building rail lines and petroleum pipelines into Central Asia and acquiring Central Asian energy firms.”
China is being supplied by Russia in terms of its energy needs. China is merely pursuing its interest in diversifying her energy sources. Either way one looks at it, both Russia and China are using energy as a weapon against the west. It is, after all, the west’s Achilles heel.
“It is Beijing, not Moscow, which is now pre-eminent in influence in North Korea.”
“It is Beijing, not Moscow, which quietly sponsors an unofficial policy of encouraging migration of its citizens to resource-rich Russian Siberia. “
Yes, Russians have considered this a problem for some time. China, contrary to popular myth, is not overpopulated. The majority of her citizens are crammed into a few cities. Western and southwestern China are empty, as is inner Mongolia and outer Mongolia (that is, Mongolia proper). Unfortunately, Siberia is also largely empty as well.
“It is Beijing, not Moscow, which is purchasing component after component of Russian military technology as part of a broad-based modernization program.”
This is far from a problem. It is, on the contrary one of the central areas where Russia and China have cooperated against western imperial designs on the region (that is, Central Asia).
“And it is Beijing, not Moscow, which likes to hold large-scale military maneuvers on the border named innocuous things like ‘Northern Sword.’”
Yes, but, recently, such maneuvers have been done in concert with the Russians, with more planned on the way. This is one of the major reasons why I have written many times in the past that Russia “has the west quaking in its boots.”
Though Stratfor’s arguments seem compelling, and are very well stated, they ultimately fail. China and Russia under normal circumstances would be rivals for influence in Siberia and Central Asia. But these are not normal circumstances, and the result is that China and Russia have been thrown together, in spite of many disagreements, due to the manifest threat of the United States and other western powers and proxies.
Therefore, with much confidence, I predict that, so long as the western threat exists, cooperation rather than conflict will be the norm between Russia and China.
Things will change if and when such threats dissipate. So far, Russia and China have developed a rather pleasant symbiosis. China is in need of Russian technical expertise, as well as her energy resources. Russia, on the other hand, wants influence in Asia in order to counter western subversion in Belarus, Ukraine, Georgia, Azerbaijan and all of Central Asia, and the Chinese vehicle may assist them in this regard. Further, China is a growing market used to Russian goods and is a substantial chip to play against the U.S. and the corporate, liberal oligarchy that current controls her institutions.
Now, this symbiosis may change, and then conflict will replace cooperation. But even here, the threat of U.S. domination may keep the alliance together even when the symbiosis breaks down. China, Russia, the Islamic states, Venezuela, some in the EU, Malaysia and many others are drawn together under one banner: multipolarity.
Therefore, with fits and starts, it might be rational to expect an increasing level of cooperation among these states and regions, as well as the increasing philosophical plausibility of Eurasianism among educated Russians.