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China finances the US debts and deficits. The trade with Japan was to help rescue Japan’s economy from almost 10 years of slump. Don’t confuse the size of an economy with the health of its economy. US and Japan are two large economies, largely unhealthy economies with record high debts. Focus on the entire economies of China, Japan and US, instead of just the trade numbers and you may begin to understand the regional dynamics and why it is unfolding accordingly.
Taiwan wants to trade with China for the same reason why so many countries around the world want to trade with China, and the same reason why China has no problems attracting FDIs, as practical reality trumps political ideology. Alexae, aren’t you only out of high school? Young, naïve and idealistic is fitting for you.
China didn’t say it wanted to be independent from other countries. Taiwan wants formal independence from China, but it cannot handle the responsibilities that come with it. Furthermore, the recent negative reactions to CSB's New Year speech, from Taiwanese and Taiwan businesses are negative, as the market dropped even with ambiguous language.
So Alexae, I don’t know what they feed you out there in OZ, but a dose of reality instead of political ideology would be prudent right about now. At least many Taiwanese are smart to enough to realize practical reality, and can see where the current trends of more reliance on trade with China, and increasing debts, will take them!
I don't foresee China cutting off trade with Taiwan either unless it is provoked into an untenable position with no diplomatic options. China should only use Soft Power reactively and reluntantly, at a last resort. Considering how things are trending, soft power may not even be necessary as the natural progression of this trend should bring a peaceful resolution.
As an aside, don't use such absolute terms like "everybody knows" since together with other absolute terms like always, never, and impossible, are too easily disproved. Since you don't know everybody in this world, it's not possible to know what everybody knows, as the more absolute terms used, the easier it is to disprove it!
[ Last edited by raymondusa at 2006-1-11 06:33 AM ]