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Rank: 4

Post time 2018-3-11 05:13:32 |Display all floors
Unlikely for two hotheaded leaders to agree on anything, they might agree on just one thing - a guaranteed peace for a guaranteed denuclearization.

Go ahead, embellish either offer as much as you want, i.e., "comprehensive, complete, permanent, irrevocable, verifiable, with guarantees by the UN or other powers", all of these will apply to the peace as they will apply to the denuclearization, and both Kim and Trump will do it.

So now comes the need for "patience" after declaring a year ago that the "strategy of patience is over".  This time, patience is needed, not to achieve peace or denuclearization, but war instead.  That, they are quite willing to wait patiently for.  Just don't foreclose war by agreeing to peace for denuclearization.  Please, don't, at least before I sell my stocks on Monday!

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Post time 2018-3-11 12:30:31 |Display all floors
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Post time 2018-3-11 17:01:42 |Display all floors
Given the Ghadaffi experience, it is likely Kim will want China, Russia, South Korea and Japan to act as guarantors (Japan may be omitted because it is likely raise demands that make the deal impossible to close).

In short, Kim would actually raise the stakes of any future attack on North Korea from a local, to a global, war, should that ever take place.

That's a lot of buttons on the table.

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Post time 2018-3-12 12:51:48 |Display all floors
The point man is Moon. If he is brave enough, he can sign the peace treaty with Kim without the US should Trump walk away after the summit with only palpable talks leading nowhere on account of past performances of both sides (DPRK prevaricating on denuclearisation, and the US decapitating the Ghaddafi regime after denuclearisation). This will reduce the US from the peninsula, effectively draining Washington's swarm on the 38th parallel. If Moon does so, he will earn political mileage at home and also heartfelt relief all over the world, including DPRK and China but not Japan. After the treaty is signed, tension can be further reduced by the two Korea's opening trade links to bypass the sanctions imposed by the US which will have to beat a new path to Seoul on account of its new partner still having ICBMs. Or invade Seoul and start KW 2.0.

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