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The Populist Movement of Trump Defeats Itself in Alabama [Copy link] 中文

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Post time 2017-12-13 15:18:14 |Display all floors
With both Bannon and Trump backing Moore, Moore still lost Alabama's senatorial election to Democrat Jones by the width of a hair.  It shows that the Trump magic and the unity of the populist movement are fading.  Call it the Deep State or call it the Swamp, either one is swallowing up the Trump movement, head first.  Some called it the Second American Revolution, but if so, it has proven itself to be a mere shadow of its former self.  If Moore cannot win with the support of both Trump and Bannon, neither can Trump win his re-election in states that are less Red than Alabama, i.e., the rest of USA.

Trump might as well resign.  The loss of Alabama is akin to a Vote of No Confidence to a Prime Minister.  No sooner had the Trump revoluation begun, it has begun to unravel.

And of course, with Trump no longer a factor, WWIII is now back on schedule for 2018.  Bitcoin is an euphemism for the mark of the Beast.  Beastcoin will replace everything and reduce all savings in the end into a deadbeat cypher, when due to a supposed hack, everything suddenly became Zero.



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Post time 2017-12-13 16:07:11 |Display all floors
Self-righteousness defeated the Ten Commandments.  Incredible.  Yet, so real.  






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Post time 2017-12-13 16:19:15 |Display all floors
It is worse than Waterloo.  It is almost as if the French cavalry abandoned its own infantry in the middle of the battle, because the infantry failed to hold up the colors correctly.  No, not crazy, just so very real, the reality of the greater sin of Spiritual Pride compared with the sins of the flesh.  The former led to the fall of the angels, while the latter, to the fall of man.  This defeat of the conservative right of the GOP is profound.

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Post time 2017-12-13 16:20:33 |Display all floors
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Post time 2017-12-13 17:22:11 |Display all floors
Not quite. Moore lost the battle because he's a pedophile. Bannon and Trump haven't lost the war yet because it's just starting.

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Post time 2017-12-17 05:34:20 |Display all floors
sfphoto Post time: 2017-12-13 17:22
Not quite. Moore lost the battle because he's a pedophile. Bannon and Trump haven't lost the war yet ...

SIMPLE ARITHMETIC AND STATISTICS SHOW THE ALABAMA VOTE COUNT TALLY TO BE PRACTICALLY IMPOSSIBLE TO EXPLAIN -- AND MAKES A RECOUNT NECESSARY - AND IF NOT POSSIBLE, A RE-VOTE MAY BE THE ONLY SOLUTION.

With 68% of the votes counted, Moore got 53.5% of the votes, compared to Jones' 45.1%.

Then, with 71% of the votes counted, Moore slipped to 51.6% of the votes, compared to Jones' 47.0%.

There was only a 3% increase in the votes counted.  

In order for Jones to do this, he will have to have captured 90% of the 3% newly counted votes, and Moore will have to lose 91.5% of the newly counted votes.  

This must imply that at that moment, the voting system was counting votes from a very highly democratic segment of the electorate, and that this was also a significantly large (3%) segment of the electorate.  There does not seem to exist in Alabama any such sector that fits the above description, in time (at the time these votes were counted), in degree of pro-Dem loyalty, and in size of votes cast.  Therefore, there is a simple arithmetical basis, irrespective of other concerns, for having a recount.

Furthermore, the chance of a sample of 3% of the population showing a change in proportions of those for Moore from being 53.5% pro-Moore, to being only 8.5% pro-Moore, with an N (size of votes counted as of that time) as large as 915,380, and an M (size of new votes added, which is 3% of 1,346,147) 40,380, fails a difference of proportions test at an extremely high alpha level of significance, beyond 0.001, that on a statistical basis, irrespective of other concerns, implies that the variations of the vote count are highly unlikely to be due to a random variation in the counting of votes.  A sudden, unexplained variation, is an anomaly.

Now, if Moore is guilty of personal misconduct, McConnell would be within his rights to call for an ethics committee investigation, if he got elected.

But first, the question the people of Alabama deserves to be answered fairly and squarely is, was he the one they really elected, or not?






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Post time 2017-12-17 07:08:18 |Display all floors
This post was edited by abcfirst at 2017-12-17 07:12

Moore camp claims there was a vote count anomaly when he switched from being the leading candidate to losing candidate around the time 68% of the votes were counted, going toward 71%.  The extra 3% went almost all to his opponent, practically 90% of that 3% block of votes, equal to about 40,000 votes counted in that tranche.  Was there or was there not a rigging of the vote count?  God only knows.

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