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sfphoto Post time: 2017-12-13 17:22
Not quite. Moore lost the battle because he's a pedophile. Bannon and Trump haven't lost the war yet ...
SIMPLE ARITHMETIC AND STATISTICS SHOW THE ALABAMA VOTE COUNT TALLY TO BE PRACTICALLY IMPOSSIBLE TO EXPLAIN -- AND MAKES A RECOUNT NECESSARY - AND IF NOT POSSIBLE, A RE-VOTE MAY BE THE ONLY SOLUTION.
With 68% of the votes counted, Moore got 53.5% of the votes, compared to Jones' 45.1%.
Then, with 71% of the votes counted, Moore slipped to 51.6% of the votes, compared to Jones' 47.0%.
There was only a 3% increase in the votes counted.
In order for Jones to do this, he will have to have captured 90% of the 3% newly counted votes, and Moore will have to lose 91.5% of the newly counted votes.
This must imply that at that moment, the voting system was counting votes from a very highly democratic segment of the electorate, and that this was also a significantly large (3%) segment of the electorate. There does not seem to exist in Alabama any such sector that fits the above description, in time (at the time these votes were counted), in degree of pro-Dem loyalty, and in size of votes cast. Therefore, there is a simple arithmetical basis, irrespective of other concerns, for having a recount.
Furthermore, the chance of a sample of 3% of the population showing a change in proportions of those for Moore from being 53.5% pro-Moore, to being only 8.5% pro-Moore, with an N (size of votes counted as of that time) as large as 915,380, and an M (size of new votes added, which is 3% of 1,346,147) 40,380, fails a difference of proportions test at an extremely high alpha level of significance, beyond 0.001, that on a statistical basis, irrespective of other concerns, implies that the variations of the vote count are highly unlikely to be due to a random variation in the counting of votes. A sudden, unexplained variation, is an anomaly.
Now, if Moore is guilty of personal misconduct, McConnell would be within his rights to call for an ethics committee investigation, if he got elected.
But first, the question the people of Alabama deserves to be answered fairly and squarely is, was he the one they really elected, or not?