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MAJOR STATISTICAL ANOMALY IN THE PHILIPPINES ELECTION VOTE COUNT [Copy link] 中文

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Post time 2016-5-11 21:03:15 |Display all floors
This post was edited by abramicus at 2016-5-11 21:04

The numbers speak for themselves.  Marcos, Jr., does not have to prove fraud in order to demand a manual recount.  He only needs to show probable cause for the existence of an anomaly by objective statistics.  Two anomalies stand out in the results of the unofficial count of the vice-presidential candidates Marcos and Robredo.  First is that the 3rd and 4th tranches of votes reported had EXACTLY the same percentages of votes for Marcos (41.8%) and Robredo (58.1%), with the 3rd tranche containing 2,061,292 votes, and the 4th tranche containing 4,090,140 votes.  This degree of similarity of two proportions is unheard of in the history of vote counting, and constitutes a statistical evidence of a counting anomaly (not necessarily due to fraud) that merits a recount.  Second is that the percentages of votes for Marcos (52.77%) and Robredo (47.23%) in the first tranche counted and the percentages of votes for Marcos (41.88%) and Robredo (58.12%) in the 3rd and 4th counts can be shown to belong to two different populations with a p-value less than 0.001, and an anomaly of counting, or sampling bias, or even use of spreadsheets that round off decimals for one candidate downwards, and the other upwards or none at all, can produce a systematic bias in favor of one or against the other, or both.  The machine language and hardware level of rounding errors may need to be checked across a representative sample of voting machines to rule out a ROUNDING BIAS, for instance.

COUNT  TRANCHE

MARCOS

M% TOTAL

ROBREDO

R% TOTAL

TOTAL VOTES



A

           6,536,505

52.767%

                 5,850,998

47.233%

               12,387,503

ANOMALY #2

B

           4,464,488

50.470%

                 4,381,346

49.530%

                 8,845,835





C

              862,359

41.836%

                 1,198,934

58.164%

                 2,061,292

ANOMALY #1
D

           1,712,884

41.878%

                 2,377,256

58.122%

                 4,090,140

TOTAL

        13,576,236

49.576%

               13,808,534

50.424%

               27,384,770






















































































SO MUCH FOR THE SHOWCASE OF DEMOCRACY IN ASIA.  THAT DUTERTE WON IS WITHOUT DOUBT.  BUT THAT MARCOS LOST IS VERY, VERY MUCH IN DOUBT.  AND THE KEY TO THE SURVIVAL OF DUTERTE PRESIDENCY IS IN WHO IS HIS VICE-PRESIDENT AS THIS FACTOR WILL SPELL THE DIFFERENCE BETWEEN THE ATTRACTIVENESS OF IMPEACHING HIM OR OF WORKING WITH HIM DURING HIS TENURE.



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Post time 2016-5-12 09:08:46 |Display all floors
UNSURPRISINGLY, IT TAKES AN IMPARTIAL OBSERVER WRITING AT CHINADAILY TO POINT OUT THE OBVIOUS . . .

THE ANOMALY IN THE VOTE COUNTING OF THE PHILIPPINES ELECTION RESIDES IN THE IMPOSSIBILITY OF TWO SUCCESSIVE TRANCHES OF VOTES COUNTED TO HAVE EXACTLY THE SAME PERCENTAGES OF VOTES FOR MARCOS AND ROBREDO (CF TRANCHES C AND D).  THIS HAS TO BE DUE TO A MIRACLE, OR A SYSTEMATIC MANIPULATION OF THE REPORTS OF VOTES COUNTED.

FURTHERMORE, IT ALMOST IMPOSSIBLE FOR THE FIRST TRANCHE OF VOTES COUNTED (TRANCHE A) TO HAVE SUCH A DIFFERENT COMPOSITION OF VOTES FOR MARCOS AND ROBREDO AS IN TRANCHE C, WHICH DIFFERENCE IS REPEATED IDENTICALLY IN EXTENT IN TRANCHE D, AS THE TRANCHES ARE NOT RESTRICTED TO VOTES COMING FROM ONLY ONE LOCATION AT ANY ONE TIME.

WHY MARCOS JR IS UNABLE TO PROVE THERE IS AN ANOMALY IS ITSELF AN ANOMALY.

WHO IS IN CHARGE OF HIS VOTE COUNTING OPERATIONS?

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Post time 2016-5-13 14:28:08 |Display all floors
THE HISTORY OF PHILIPPINE DEMOCRACY IS BEING RE-WRITTEN BYTE BY BYTE.

Apparently, the Marcos Jr camp found evidence of a Venezuelan IT technician having received orders from above to break the seal of the data in order to do a trivial change in the spelling of a single letter in a candidate's name, AFTER the election had ended, which makes no difference to the voters, rendering it completely non-urgent and irrelevant, but yet was carried out in a hurry in the middle of the night, an act which made the rest of the data's veracity virtually unverifiable.

Almost at the same time, Vice-Presidential candidate, Cayetano, the running mate of the presumptive winner of the Presidential election, Duterte, CONCEDED to Robredo, in the midst of the escalating controversy over the validity of the vice-presidential vote count.

Why?  Is he afraid that a manual vote count may CHANGE the reported unofficial vote count of his running mate, Duterte, as well, whose win over his rivals was initially surprising, then stunning, then stratospheric and historic . . . until it has now become MIRACULOUS?!

Did the governing party's own presidential candidate, Roxas, get short-changed by his bosses?  Or, were they all shortchanged by some foreigners fixing their servers for them, not to serve the Filipino people, but their own masters?  The tale of Gotham City turns darker with each passing night.

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Post time 2016-5-14 13:00:59 |Display all floors
HOW CAN ANY INTELLIGENT PEOPLE DEPEND ON A LEAKY VOTING SOFTWARE THAT OTHER COUNTRIES HAVE QUESTIONED AND EVEN BANNED FROM BEING USED IN THEIR ELECTIONS?

HOW CAN ANY HONEST GOVERNMENT HAVE ADOPTED A SOFTWARE THAT COULD BOTCH THE WILL OF THEIR OWN PEOPLE IN THEIR EXERCISE OF SOVEREIGNTY THROUGH THEIR SUFFRAGE?

AND FOR THEM TO BELIEVE SO WHOLEHEARTEDLY IN THE VERACITY OF THE RESULT AS REPORTED BY SUCH A SOFTWARE . . . INCREDIBLE.

INCREDIBLY NAIVE OR INCREDIBLY STUPID, BUT NOT IN ANY WAY "SMART" FROM WHAT IT HAS DONE TO THE TRUST OF THEIR PEOPLE FOR THEIR GOVERNMENT.

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Post time 2016-5-14 13:15:42 |Display all floors
IT IS BECOMING MORE AND MORE APPARENT THAT BOTH THE AQUINO AND THE DUTERTE CAMPS ARE AFRAID OF A MANUAL RECOUNT, WITH BOTH TRYING TO EFFECT A QUICK AND SMOOTH TRANSITION, WITH DUTERTE OFFERING ROBREDO THE POST OF A CABINET SECRETARY IF SHE WERE TO BE DECLARED THE WINNER - WONDER WHY HE DID NOT OFFER HIS SUPPORTER, MARCOS JR., WHO WAS EVEN WORRIED ABOUT DUTERTE BEING IMPEACHED BY HIS OPPONENTS.  DUTERTE'S RUNNING MATE WENT AS FAR AS TO CONCEDE TO ROBREDO BEFORE THE OFFICIAL RESULT OF THE ELECTION CAME OUT, WITH MARCOS JR AND ROBREDO SEPARATED BY A MARGIN THAT IS EASY FOR MARCOS JR TO OVERCOME.

PERHAPS, ALL MARCOS JR HAS TO INSIST IS TO HAVE A MANUAL RECOUNT OF BOTH THE PRESIDENTIAL AND VICE-PRESIDENTIAL VOTES, AND THEY WILL OFFER THE VP POST TO HIM ON A SILVER PLATTER.

THE PLOT THICKENS AND PROMISES TO BE EXTREMELY INTERESTING.

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Post time 2016-5-15 04:01:16 |Display all floors
This post was edited by abramicus at 2016-5-15 04:15

WITH THE BLUE PILL SLIPPED INTO THE GUTS OF THE VOTE COUNTING SERVER, PHILIPPINE POLITICS IS ON THE VERGE OF SINKING INTO "THE MATRIX".

IF ANYTHING, THE USE OF VOTE-COUNTING MACHINES AND THEIR BLACK BOX SERVERS SHOULD BE BANNED IN ANY DEMOCRACY, BECAUSE THE VERIFIABILITY OF THE BALLOT IS REPLACED WITH THE UNVERIFIABLE VOTE OF THE VIRTUAL ELECTION MACHINE, CONTROL OF WHICH DECIDES EVERY ELECTED OFFICE.

THIS IS NOT DEMOCRACY.  CALL IT DICTATORSHIP TO BE HONEST, WHICH IS NOT REALLY BAD, IF DUTERTE IS THE WINNER OF THIS DICTAT, AS THE PUBLIC VOTE HAD NOT BEEN VERY WISE LATELY IN ITS CHOICES OF OFFICIALS.  MAYBE, WHOEVER TWEAKED THE VOTING SERVER KNEW BETTER THAN THE MILLIONS OF VOTERS WHO WOULD BE THEIR BEST LEADER.  BUT IN DENYING A CANDIDATE OF HIS HONESTLY WON OFFICE THE INVISIBLE HAND REVEALED ITS REAL NATURE, ERSTWHILE HIDING BEHIND PIOUS NAMES.

AS FOR THE NONSENSE THAT THE SCRIPT ALTERATION WAS TO CHANGE A MISSPELLING IN A NAME, THE END ITSELF IS SO TRIVIAL, IT CANNOT JUSTIFY THE MEANS BY ANY STRETCH OF THE IMAGINATION.  THE CHANGING OF A WILDCARD CHARACTER (REPORTEDLY, THE SPECIAL CHARACTER OF THE QUESTION MARK, "?", INTO THE SPANISH CHARACTER "
ñ") CAN CHANGE FAR MORE THAN JUST THE ? IN A NAME, AND CAN ACTIVATE TROJANS AND MALWARES WAITING FOR SUCH A CUE.  FURTHERMORE, AFTER THE SCRIPT WAS INJECTED INTO THE SYSTEM, NOBODY CAN CERTIFY THAT IT DID NOT CHANGE ANY VOTES.  ALL REASSURANCES IT DID NOT ALTER THE RESULTS IS JUST A MATTER OF OPINION, AND NO LONGER A MATTER OF FACT, AS THE FACTS HAVE BECOME, WITH THAT ONE BLUE PILL, A MERE VIRTUAL REALITY.   A TAMPERED BALLOT CAN BE CHECKED FOR TAMPERING.  A TAMPERED ELECTRONIC VOTE IS BEYOND VISUAL VERIFICATION, AND IS SIMPLY NULL AND VOID.  ONLY A MANUAL RECOUNT CAN APPROXIMATE THE REALITY OF THE VOTE, BUT WITH THIS BLUE PILL POSSIBLY ALTERING EVEN THE RAW DATA FROM WHICH THE "MANUAL RECOUNT" OF COMPUTER-GENERATED BALLOTS ARE TO BE GENERATED, ONLY A RE-VOTE MAY FULFILL THE MANDATE OF THE CONSTITUTION THAT THOSE WHO HOLD PUBLIC OFFICE MUST PROVE BEYOND A SHADOW OF A DOUBT THAT THEY HAVE WON THE PUBLIC CONSENT.

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