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China should start to
..................create STANDARD MILLEAGE fleet sales laws in China.|
As China's automobile numbers will be huge to ensure higher standard of living, it will need to be able to MATCH VEHICLE VOLUME with expected "easy access" to "fuel sources"!
If China expects a maximum of 18 million barrels a day crude oil is reasonable, + expected supply of synthetic fuel from natural gas, naptha, even ethanol, then it would expect up to 900 million tonnes of petrol, diesel, kerosine, fuel oil + other fuel blends.
They could set FLEET SALES MILLEAGE laws.
The 4 automobile majors, and 4 automobile minors will be given LIMITS.
We can set standards of 12km/Litre for the 2012 model sales.
It can become progressively become more stringent and set to 16km/Litre for the year 2020
If there is 300 million automobile in 2020, and fleet mileage average 10km/litre (and 20,000km average annual use)- China needs 600 m tonnes or approximately 750 to 800 m tonnes of crude oil.
if there is 600 million automobile by 2030, and fleet mileage averages 15km/Litre (and we adjust vehicle use to 18,000km average)- China would need 720 m tonnes or approximately 900 million tonnes of crude oil + natural gas distillates, naphtha or ethanol blends to suffice!
Such laws will create UNIQUE Chinese car design and FORCE new R&D solutions to the industry!
[ Last edited by greendragon at 2011-7-28 01:22 PM ]