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Vision for China automobile market! [Copy link] 中文

Rank: 8Rank: 8

Post time 2011-6-13 11:06:41 |Display all floors
In 2010, China is estimated to have 130 million actively use car, vehicles!
(this is comfirmed by China's production of crude oil = 8mbd or 400 Mil Tonnes in 2010)

By 2020, China is expected to possess 300 million vehicles or 1 car or vehicle for every 4 citizens!
It will use about = 16 mbd or 800 Mil Tonnes crude oil.
This will be based on trends of using more <1 T vehicles, and <1.5 T hybrid vehicles, and increasing use of the MRT to move people in dense city centres, and bigger moves via freight trains network.

By 2030, China is expected to possess 600 million vehicles or 1 car or vehicle for every 2 citizens!
It will use only about = 18 mbd or 900 Mil Tonnes crude oil.
This will depend need a bigger impact of long distant (>200km trips) by PRIME MOVER being replaced by a "space age" efficient computerized PLATFORM CONTAINER ELECTRIC MOVERS on double or triple track rail.

cheerios!

Green DRagon
Game Grandmaster

[ Last edited by greendragon at 2011-6-14 12:28 PM ]

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Rank: 8Rank: 8

Post time 2011-6-13 11:13:21 |Display all floors

67% of the car in China by 2020 will be less than 1 Tonne kerb weight.

cheerios!

Green DRagon
Game Grandmaster
Compact car less 1T kerb weight.jpg

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Post time 2011-6-13 11:18:29 |Display all floors

Part of the 67% portion of sales can be fuel sipping hybrids.

The hybrids has disadvantage of having BATTERIES REPLACEMENT cycle which is costly every 3 to 5 years!
Technologies is improving by leaps and bounds - and some manufacturers believe it's possible to keep battery life up to 250,000 km cycle or 10 years!

cheerios!

Green DRagon
Game Grandmaster
Hybrid cars less 1.5 tonnes kerb weight.jpg

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Post time 2011-6-13 11:38:02 |Display all floors

33% of the car market will be 1.5T or above!

These cars are expected to consume 1.5T of refined fuel or about 2.0 to 2.2 Tonnes of crude oil, dependent on refinery capability and type of crude oil imported or locally produced!

cheerios!

Green DRagon
Game Grandmaster
Full size car less 1.5T kerb weight.jpg

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Post time 2011-6-14 12:00:49 |Display all floors

China would have to expand Xinjiang crude oil production.

Perhap to increase onshore crude production to match those of the United States at 6 million barrels a day. (or about 300Million tonnes). The production in the North east of China is approximately more than 3 million barrels a day at the moment.

cheerios!

Green DRagon
Game Grandmaster
Xinjiang oil fields.jpg

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Post time 2011-6-14 17:00:27 |Display all floors
I do not think it is good information or not?

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Rank: 6Rank: 6

Post time 2011-6-14 17:05:13 |Display all floors
Please guys. Stop buying cars. Seriously. There's nowhere to park, the roads are full and you're crap drivers.

Take the bus, take the train, go get your bike out of the shed, wipe the dust off and start using pedal power again.

We don't need cars if we live and work in the city. Can't you see?

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