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The Amerikan Gamble - Mesopotamian Protectorate [Copy link] 中文

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Post time 2009-6-8 12:41:48 |Display all floors
August 2010.

Place your bets, place your bets!

Crude oil prices at US$30 or US$60 to 90 a barrel.
Will the Mesopotamian Protectorate be able to produce crude oil and expand production.
or would there be widening sectarian conflict.


This will change the equation of many powers.





Green DRagon
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Post time 2009-6-9 12:46:58 |Display all floors

The Arab Dilemma. Large Crude Oil and Gas reserves.

and a small population.

Their advantage is small population. The Saudi, GCC and Mesoptomia has less than 60 million people but probably have 1/3 of the world's energy reserves.
The disadvantage of the Arabs are LACK OF WATER, lack of arable land which makes the Arab industry very uncompetitive. Thus the Arabs needs to TRADE, selling their crude oil at the best prices for consumer and durable goods.

There is the large state, industrial advanced like Germany, Low states, Italy, Spain, Japan, Korea, Taiwan, United States, China, and Thailand who lacks the important resources. This nation faces rivalry of other great powers such as energy sufficient the British Club, France & Francophile Africa, Russian and energy deficient United States, China who tries to outsmart each other to have secure access to surplus energy.

On the other hand, there are the higher cost producers of energy, (due to isolation, or difficult to process/tap). This include Russia, Persia, Central Asian, Brazil, Mexican, Venezeulan, Sudan, Angola who has vested interest to see that the Arabs keep crude oil prices high enough to enable them to produce energy profitably.


The Arabs thus have a dillemma.
Their small population, the geographic location, the lack of crucial resources to create an industrial society means they are FORCED to have partnership with CONSUMER nations, preferably those who would partner, respect and provide additonal forces to protect their freedom.


Mesopotamia was taken advantaged exactly for that reason. Global Rivalry! Whether the Amerikan Regime can gain maximum advantage especially to gain that production capacity that can effect global energy prices!!!! (That's why it's an Amerikan Gamble)

The other global powers are neutralizing the Amerikan Regime strategies now!
With so many VESTED INTEREST and their paid "pipeline guilds", we do expect the remaining FREE ARAB states to takes the correct steps to protect their freedom and sovereignity.


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Post time 2009-6-9 12:56:16 |Display all floors

Make your guess on the position of less competitive Energy surplus states!

What would a states like British Club's Canadian shale crude oil, Australia natural gas deposit and Britain's North Sea deep drill crude oil, gas would prefer?

ha ha ha

Easy! High prices, controlled production from the lowest cost producers of the Arab Bloc.
(The Persians would also want to produce at maximum volume with high prices as they need to import huge volumes of commodities, durables for their large 70 odd million people)

The Australian would prefer more COMBINED CYCLE Electric powerplants in China, Japan, Korea and more GTL plants in China or in Australia itself!


Would states like this, closest allies of the United States also have divergent interest to the Amerikan Regime primary reason for invading Afganistan and Mesopotamia, access and protect low cost source of crude oil and gas, with ultimate goal to control energy deficient advanced states!


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Post time 2009-6-9 13:00:50 |Display all floors

Place you bets, place your bets!

Can the Amerikan Regime produce cheap crude oil in Mesopotamia?

Can the Amerikan Regime afford to leave Mesopotamia?

It's also the Amerikan Dllemma too!
Vested Interest would not only be Amerikan and the Dollar dependent Zone.


The odds now!
Any book maker?


ha ha ha


Green DRagon
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Post time 2009-6-10 11:52:23 |Display all floors
Originally posted by seneca at 2009-6-10 09:32
What will Iraq do when it has finally and ultimately run out of oil, while its population has soared to 80 million?

Surely the oil-rich Arabs, Iranians and others should devote more of their tim ...


That's precisely why Iran is developing its nuclear industry. Haven't you noticed?

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Post time 2009-6-10 14:40:49 |Display all floors

Reply #5 seneca's post

You will be long dead by then, and a new energy scenerio will be facing us.

I think the world can feed to have a 12 billion population with current technology and genetic stock.
In such a scenerio, mega cities will be the common place rather than the odd place.
In super dense cities, we wouldn't need automobile (which crude oil generally is used) but more electric driven trains, elevators, walkalators, fast rails.

got to talk about the next 10, 20, 50 year period now, rather than next 100, 200, 500 years!


ha ha ha


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Post time 2009-6-11 06:40:03 |Display all floors

Reply #4 greendragon's post

Why do you too, use the K when it's well known that American isn't spelled with a K, Grrrrrrrrrr, a loada ----e folks, spell it properly and judge not, because, you ( China) will be also!

[ Last edited by exportedkiwi at 2009-6-11 06:42 AM ]

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