Author: Froster

Western Advisor: "China Will Never Fight a War"   [Copy link] 中文

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Post time 2017-2-2 14:18:31 |Display all floors
HailChina! Post time: 2017-2-1 11:14
Russia was terrified of a peoples war with China because China has such a large number of troops.  ...

Nuclear weapons and high-tech conventional weapons make manpower obsolete. You sit back, push buttons and kill millions!
My problem is simple: I just know better than everyone-else!

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Post time 2017-2-3 07:12:38 |Display all floors
Ted180 Post time: 2017-2-1 22:18
Nuclear weapons and high-tech conventional weapons make manpower obsolete. You sit back, push butt ...

"With nukes, you sit back and push the button"

If only life on earth is that simple. Allow your imagination to flow free here a little:

Millions of casualties, i.e., Miami, San Fran, LA, Chicago, Boston, NYC, becomes nightmares for the ones who pushed the button. After the war, both countries will crumble like the Soviet Union. What's next is the hostile takeover, by the T-Rex cland of America to follow of what's now a pre-Pangea American earth while in the east「all cities east of Xian got Hiroshima'ed and Nagasaki'ed」and the collateral damages calculated in the hundreds of millions.

But, it's unlikely to go that far. JFK and Kruschev would have incinerated both the US and the Soviet Union if Bobby didn't come up with a quit pro quo, ie., Nukes in Turkey in exchange for nukes in Cuba in the very last moment.

Same, I think, will happen with a Chinese American stand off. And the trade off? Time will tell...


Putin's a killer. This was the claim made by Fox News journalist; Bill O'Reilly during his recent interview with Donald Trump. Trump's reply came in the form of a simple question. What, you think our country's so innocent?

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Post time 2017-2-3 09:01:44 |Display all floors
On T-2, Bannon and Navarro will broker sales of the stock markets' blue-chips at high prices. On T+0, the US Pacific Fleet will send four battleships and some jets to surround the furthest atoll and claim its skies . On T+1, China will encircle the four battleships; it's a standoff but there will be some skirmishes in the air. On T+2, the stock markets will nosedive. On T+3, Bannon and Navarro will trigger purchases of those blue-chips at marked down prices. They will earn handsome commissions and park them in offshore accounts. Trump will ask for a cut to add to the ones he will be getting from Lockheed Martin, Northrop Grumman, Boeing, General Dynamics, United Technologies and Raytheon as they start getting fresh orders for more stinger missiles and such.

Meanwhile blood is shed in the pacific, the sharks of the USS indianapolis fatten themselves, and americans lose their shirts on the black monday bourse after being taken for a ride on the trump-led investment binge.

Will Bannon, Navarro and others go the same way as Bolton et al of the earlier batch of rightwing neocon ultra-conservatives? They all think they are just sin-eaters when they are just sinners against humanity on both sides of a divide created to justify their resurrected egos and deranged sense of history-warped justice.

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Post time 2017-2-3 17:58:24 |Display all floors
This post was edited by sfphoto at 2017-2-3 18:08
Ted180 Post time: 2017-2-2 14:18
Nuclear weapons and high-tech conventional weapons make manpower obsolete. You sit back, push butt ...

Not true.

In a land war between neighboring countries sharing a border, detonating nuclear weapons will result in radioactive fallout which would affect both parties to the conflict. Examples: in the Korean War, MacArthur wanted to use nukes against North Korea but was overruled by Truman. Same situation in the Vietnam War and Germany during the Cold War where US troops had to fight a divided country.

In land wars, manpower -- and the means to transport them -- is still crucial in conquering and controlling territory whereas in naval wars fought in the air and sea such as the Battle of Midway, Battle of Philippine Sea, etc., the party with the best and most technologically advanced weapons win, i.e., the Imperial Japanese Navy simply couldn't match the military hardware of the US Navy. In Europe, the US military had to fight a land war to conquer and control territory in order to secure West Germany from the Soviet Red Army.

The US military has an abysmal record in fighting land wars because they have had trouble holding territory which is necessary for securing a country. What has happened in almost all the land wars fought by the US military in Asia is that their tactic of "strategic bombing" succeed initially in destroying the infrastructure of the country but then they fail to secure the country, e.g., Iraq. Once warfare enters its land phase, US troops fail miserably at pacifying the population which then resorts to guerilla warfare.

They can't take the heat, so they leave.




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Post time 2017-2-4 01:03:00 |Display all floors
So... can you cite the article you are basing this thread on? Curious to know if it is Janes, CATO, or another 'Old China Hand' chiming in.

Bottom line... the amount of dependence that P.R. China has for shipments of raw materials into and finished products out via the global sea lanes, it does not have the Navy to cover its Merchant Marine.
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Post time 2017-2-4 23:36:28 |Display all floors
Great to know that you have understood China well than Chinese themselves. Perhaps, the real outcome has yet to come. Trump loves to gamble. He owns two casinoes and would love to throw the dices for winning. So, let him send the best fighting machinery into South China Sea to demonstrate his determination and bravery. Courage will be tested and make no mistake if it is lost during the transaction.

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Post time 2017-2-5 09:11:07 |Display all floors
markwu Post time: 2017-2-2 17:01
On T-2, Bannon and Navarro will broker sales of the stock markets' blue-chips at high prices. On T+0 ...

Trump and Bannon is the least of China's, or the Chinese people's worries. The two are consumed in the doctrines of an Aryan-America (who can blame them for that) and their priority: a  house that's「White」- not a house that's tinted 「a dark shade of grey」.   Ivanka Trump's courtesy in acceptanting an invite by the Chinese consulate for a visit should also make it more settling for us Chinese because such visits speaks volumes no matter what Dad "MUST SAY" in the open. It is Big sticks like Tillison and Mattis which are the stumbling blocks of US China relations going forward.
Putin's a killer. This was the claim made by Fox News journalist; Bill O'Reilly during his recent interview with Donald Trump. Trump's reply came in the form of a simple question. What, you think our country's so innocent?

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