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Will Trump’s Presidency Boost Global Populist Movements? [Copy link] 中文

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Post time 2017-1-23 17:41:32 |Display all floors
This post was edited by Sallywrj at 2017-1-23 17:48



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Populist movements are making major gainsacross the world with the inauguration of Donald Trump as the 45th president ofthe United States.


Most political observers believe Trump'spath to the presidency was fueled by populist policies. Populist movementsattempt to appeal to common people by rejecting established politicalorganizations often seen as elite.


In his inauguration speech, Trump spoke ofhis strong desire to put the interests of Americans first, above all else.


Trump said his administration will seek"friendship and goodwill" with other nations. But he added: "Wedo so with the understanding that it is the right of all nations to put theirown interests first."


"We must protect our borders from theravages of other countries making our products, stealing our companies, anddestroying our jobs," he said. "Protection will lead to greatprosperity and strength."


In the past, Trump has questioned therelevance of the 67-year-old NATO military alliance. During his speech, he saidthe United States will aim to "reinforce old alliances and form newones."


Trump has repeatedly promised to build awall along the southern U.S. border to keep illegal immigrants out. He alsocalled for severe immigration enforcement measures for people already in theU.S.


Thomas Greven is a political scienceprofessor at Germany's Free University of Berlin. He says Trump won thepresidency with a message of economic protectionism and tough immigrationreforms.


He said Trump could give a boost to otherpopulist movements around the world, depending on how he handles his firstmonths in office.


"Now right-wing populists everywherewho feel validated by Trump's victory will have to account - to a certainextent - for everything he does and says."


But Greven said Trump could disappointsupporters both at home and abroad if his policies end up offending othernations.


"An international movement ofnationalists is frail because they end up offending each other," he said.


Similar policies have been used bypolitical movements in other countries as a way to win votes.



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Post time 2017-1-23 17:44:55 |Display all floors
Brexit vote

One of the biggest examples was last year's Brexit referendum, in which British citizens voted to leave the European Union. The campaign for Britain leaving the E.U. also focused heavily on immigration issues. It said Britain was not able to effectively control the number of immigrants because of E.U. rules.

The Brexit movement believed the E.U. imposed too many regulations in Britain. It also argued that its leaders were not accountable to the British government or its citizens.

Trump has repeatedly praised Britain's decision to leave the E.U. He recently said in an interview that Brexit would "end up being a great thing." He predicted that more E.U. members would choose to leave, mainly because of immigration problems in Europe.

"If refugees keep pouring into different parts of Europe, I think it's going to be very hard to keep it together, because people are angry about it," Trump said.

Immigration, an issue in Germany's election

Trump has also criticized German Chancellor Angela Merkel for that country's decision to open its borders in 2015 to about one million refugees. Most of the refugees were Muslims fleeing war in the Middle East. Trump called the action "a catastrophic mistake."

Merkel is seeking a fourth term as chancellor in elections to be held in September. Her popularity has dropped since the refugee crisis.

Last month, a man drove a truck through a Christmas market in Berlin, killing 12 people. The anti-immigration Alternative for Germany party (AfD) blamed Merkel's immigration policies for allowing the attack to happen.

Professor Greven said the AfD will win a presence in parliament and is likely to make bigger gains at the state level.

Currently, Merkel's CDU-led alliance is leading in polls against the AfD. But even if her party wins in September, she will likely have to form a coalition government with other parties.

Rise of National Front in France

In France, the leader of the far-right National Front (NF), Marine Le Pen, is a leading candidate for that country's presidential election in April. She has said she believes Trump's win and the Brexit vote have helped her campaign.

The National Front has heavily used anti-immigration policies to win voter support. It has specifically spoken out against Muslim immigration after several major terrorist attacks hit France.

During a recent interview, Le Pen outlined some of her priorities if she won the presidency. She said she would hold a referendum on leaving the E.U., close French borders and push for an alliance with Russia and the United States to fight Islamist terrorism.

Greven said France's National Front has moved on from being the party of the lower middle class to more of a working class party. It is now appealing to a larger number of voters, including former communists and socialists, he added.

Other politicians in Europe have also faced strong opposition from populist or nationalist candidates.

Populist Movement in other EU nations

In a close race in Austria last month, far-right candidate Norbert Hofer won 47 percent of the vote against Green Party candidate Alexander Van der Bellen. Even though Hofer lost, the close election reflected increasing gains of populist movements.

In Italy, Prime Minister Matteo Renzi resigned in December after losing to populist and national parties in a referendum over constitutional reforms.

In the Netherlands, recent polls showed continued strong support for far-right politician Geert Wilders ahead of a general election in March.

Wilders and his Freedom Party have repeatedly made statements against Islam and Muslim immigration. Wilders himself was found guilty of inciting discrimination and insulting a minority group. The charges came after he led a chant at a meeting calling for the Netherlands to accept fewer Moroccan immigrants.

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Post time 2017-1-23 23:36:12 |Display all floors
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The darkest hour is that before the dawn.

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