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Dark humor abounds as dream of home ownership fades in China’s big cities   [Copy link] 中文

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Post time 2016-10-7 08:54:48 |Display all floors
The explosive price increases in China's housing market in the past year have made people less interested in predicting when the bubble will burst, and begin to accept and mock the unbelievably high prices.



A man's head is reflected on a model of a house at a real estate developer's marketing center in Zhengzhou, Henan Province. Photo: CFP

"I will want to divorce you only when the stocks I've bought recoup," he said.

Upon hearing this, she felt warmth, knowing they would be together for all time.

"I will marry you once the house prices fall," he said.

That broke her heart. She knew he was determined to break up.

Bittersweet jokes like this have flooded Chinese cyberspace and people's social media accounts since housing prices in Chinese cities skyrocketed - once again - in the past year.

National Bureau of Statistics figures show that housing prices in most cities around the country continued to increase in August, with some cities surging by more than 40 percent over the last year. A few residential communities have even seen their prices double as panicked home buyers scramble to the market for fear their chance to buy is now or never. This round of price increase apparently beat most people's expectations. A much anticipated price fall seems like a myth.

People have stopped discussing how the government should rein in unchained prices or predicting when the bubble will burst, but instead begun to accept the fact that the prices have risen to levels beyond most people's reach. Even if the increase will slow or reverse a bit, as long as the market doesn't crumble, prices are still at unreasonable levels.

Some simple math will show that one person earning an average per capita income in Shenzhen, South China's Guangdong Province, will have to work 50 years without spending a penny in order to buy an average-sized apartment in the city.

A Beijinger surnamed Zhang sold his courtyard house near the Drum Tower 30 years ago and left for good to the US. He worked hard for his American Dream to learn English and deliver food. After being robbed seven times, he managed to make $1 million, and with the money he came back to China for retirement, only to find the house he once sold now costs 80 million yuan ($12 million). Versions of this joke are popular because many people find the scenario easy to believe.


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Post time 2016-10-7 08:55:12 |Display all floors
Bay or cry

As economists worry the disproportionate price surge in property will drain financing for the country's development, ordinary people are feeling the sting of high prices in their daily life.

Potential housing purchasers, mostly the urban middle class, are hit the hardest, not only because of the fast shrinking affordability of housing, but also, as some observers say, because of a reemerging class struggle, based on whether one owns a property or not, a reinforcement of Karl Marx's classical theory about the haves and have-nots.

Housing in China is closely related to resources, and property is bound together with the social welfare system. Owning a property is necessary for one to enjoy local social services. "School district houses" are particularly sought after as they provide access to a city's best schools without the need for skullduggery. Beijing's school district houses, mostly in Xicheng and northwestern Haidian districts, could be more than twice the city's average housing prices. Only better off families can possibly afford such homes and enjoy the best education.

As another realistic joke goes, in the past only wealthy people sent their kids to study overseas, but now only the poor do.

Uneven access to education passes down through generations and consolidates the established social class. This obstructs inter-class flow and society becomes rigid. The chance for lower-class social groups to rise in the social hierarchy becomes slimmer.

The only people left with a better job than real estate agents are emigration agents, some say.




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Post time 2016-10-7 08:55:29 |Display all floors
No prospects

The real estate market is increasingly becoming a tool for making money rather than finding a residence, and observers are worried this will inevitably undermine social fairness.

It has been significantly more difficult for young people, starting from scratch in big cities, to realize the dream of buying a home compared with older generations. Before 2008, in big cities like Beijing and Shanghai, hard work could be expected to lead to home ownership. The cities developed quickly and provided abundant opportunities for new graduates and young people coming from other places. Many of them were able to afford a deposit to buy an apartment after several years of work and make the city their home.

Now that housing prices are easily seven or eight times the prices of eight years ago, the chance of buying a home is quickly vanishing.

Breaking down the demographics, people born in the 1960s and 70s mostly bought homes before prices took off. For the 1980s generation, who began working in the 2000s, some people bought homes and others could not. People born in the 1990s and in the new millennium are the most unfortunate, blogger Liu Chang wrote. Even though many of them have managed to make more than 100,000 yuan per year, without help from their parents, paying for a deposit to buy a home in the big cities is virtually out of the question. In Beijing and Shanghai, average second-hand properties now costs more than 50,000 yuan per square meter.

In the face of the price irrationality, people who have bought at least one property feel relieved and hope the price increase continue and expand their nominal wealth, while those who hesitated and missed the boat only wish to spear the bubble.

An observer going with the name Murong Suifeng wrote online that a "chain of disdain" among three classes of city dwellers has formed in China's big cities, like the food chain in the wild.

Chain of disdain

On the top of the chain are the carefree aboriginals. In Beijing this group consists of the hutong clan and the "compound clan," who are mainly the offspring of people working for Party and government institutions. They have long been living a better life than the majority.

The hutong people are not as carefree as the compound clan. With the fast expansion of Beijing, the old hutong, or historic neighborhoods in the center of town, have either become valuable cultural heritage sites, which can't be turned into money, or are at risk of being seized for redevelopment, putting the residents at risk of having to move to the suburbs. Until that happens, these people can have a comfortable life, barely feeling the stress of living in a metropolis.

This group can look down on the second category, mortgage-paying "house slaves." Distinct from the aboriginals, these are migrants working in big cities like Beijing.

They are well-educated, have a decent job and good background. Though they can't afford a house by themselves, their family can at least help dealing with a down payment.

But they need to pay back house loans, and a big proportion of their income goes to the bank.

The increasing rise of house prices makes them believe, as long as they have a house, their prosperity is guaranteed. Their children may even become aboriginals.

The rising of price of their homes also gives them a sense of security and the courage to spend their money on other things.

Although disdained by the aboriginals, they will at least have their own homes after several decades of struggle.

The bottom of the chain is the Ant Tribe with no housing. This group of people, also migrants to cities, live in rented humble abodes, and share housing with others.  

They are at the base of the social pyramid. Increasing house prices brings them many problems, but not as much as one might think, because the level of rent right now is much lower than the cost of paying a mortgage on a similar home .

This group of people are regarded as impoverished in first-tier cities. The rising of real estate prices touches every raw nerve of them. (But if simply looking at their equity, they are quite rich.)

These three groups of people form a chain of disdain, aboriginals looking down upon newcomers, and people with homes looking down on those without.

With home prices skyrocketing, the gap between the three groups is growing bigger. People on the top rung not only live a carefree life but also enjoy the delight of looking down upon others.

But in the third group, the quality of their life is deteriorating. Their chance of squeezing into the mid-level has become minimal.

This is the reality of life in first-tier cities like Beijing, Shanghai and Guangzhou, among others, and represents today's social polarization. When people are categorized not according to their ability or future, but on their house, the value system of society is in danger of crumbling.

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Post time 2016-10-7 09:05:54 |Display all floors


You have to wonder about the SANITY of the ordinary folks that support these irrational price increases. The only rationale applicable here is GREED. If everyone is greedy, then everyone becomes the target of someone's impure intentions.

The quality of the dwelling places is lagging far behind what the money should get. Shoddy workmanship pays off handsomely. As soon as you inhabit your property the pieces come off, you get water leaked through the ceiling from upstairs, and the construction gangs come back and drive you mad with the noise and unclean conditions they bring with them.

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Post time 2016-10-7 12:02:04 |Display all floors
House for living should not be on the 'show' ..

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Post time 2016-10-7 14:56:27 |Display all floors
Many factors account for the huge demand for houses.  One reason is the Chinese girl's demand for house and car before she would even consder a man for marriage!

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Post time 2016-10-7 21:05:10 |Display all floors
All about money and money .................................

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