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BEYOND PETROLEUM - coming of the Age of Robots! [Copy link] 中文

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Post time 2011-11-24 11:41:05 |Display all floors
This post was edited by greendragon at 2011-11-24 11:42

The states that probably has minimal use of the AUTOMOBILES will be JAPAN, KOREA, HONG KONG and SINGAPORE.

THIS are the states that has work very actively to develop PUBLIC TRANSPORTATION, dense cities, mega infrastructure of electric powered fast, medium, mass, light rail services. In Japan, Hong Kong massive pedestrian tunnels, covered walkways, above ground walkways are creating the "needed" infrastructure to minimized ICE AGE automobile.

This means less automobile sales (in fact in Japan, automobile sales is falling, and it's minimal in Hong Kong, and Singapore!)
The looming threat of PETROLEUM fuel supply shortages has been topmost for these states.
For them they understand what MOTOR-o-LA means to their state!

The coming AGE OF ROBOTS will introduce a whole range of industry, that might even make AUTOMOBILE MANUFACTURING obsolete and unprofitable.

cheerios!

Green DRagon
Game Grandmaster

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Post time 2011-11-25 11:38:15 |Display all floors
These states consumes some 8 mbd of crude oil equivalent mostly for FUEL and petrochemical commodity production.

In Singapore, there is already a small number of automobiles. (less than 500,000 vehicles in a city of 5 million citizens and residents) About less than 1-10 residents ratio, a low rate of vehicle ownership. In such an enviroment, while the Island State refines about 1.5mbd, it EXPORTS most of it's refined FUELS.

In Hong Kong, high parking charges, high tax on refined fuels has kept vehicle ownership similary small. It's probably lower than in Singapore. While in Japan, car ownership ratio has been falling due to a complex disincentive package from high road tolls, high tax on refined fuel, to expensive parking charges, and strict vehicle inspection standards, and high service labour cost. (that made it cheaper to make "obsolete" a vehicle at vehicle age below 5 years before major servicing and parts replacement is needed)

In Japan we also expect REFINED FUEL exports, as the Japanese will be increasingly produce SURPLUS commodity due to lower domestic requirements.

The Koreans are a bit lagging behind this GREAT INDUSTRIAL ROBOTIC revolution, but will soon need to implement such system while continuing to export their vehicle either through rebadging or own brand exports.

Cheerios!

Green DRagon
Game Grandmaster
Singapore massive Refinery and Petroleum complex.jpg

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Post time 2011-11-25 15:47:47 |Display all floors
As for China, it's a long long way to go. People are still crazy about cars while complaining on the traffic jam.  

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Post time 2011-11-27 12:36:15 |Display all floors
Japan not exporting and refinery petroleum products. Too expensive. Japan closed a few very old refineries 10 years ago and shift to Singapore.

China leadership has very poor grasp of managing a western hydrocarbon driven economy. The leaders are too obsessed with getting rich as quick as possible.

The future china economy, in 2020 will not to be robotic driven, but shall be socialist directed automation economy. This can only happen if china invest aggressively in R&D of developing China own standard software Operating System such as Android OS for tablets computers, based on Linux.
An automation driven future economy rely on standard OS software where all the machines builld in China can talk to each other, in order to make software automation possible, which cut down each person learning curves, and increase each person productivity by 1000 times. If China can build this kind of automation driven economy, China made products can compete with anyone in the world, and  can continue to be a top manufacturer goods exporter, regardless of high labor wages. Honhai is doing this now in China. Eventually old people can retire early and let more young people get opportunity to enter job market.

Currently china leaders are sleeping or very slow in developing their own software OS based on Linux, to be used in future computing works which will be mainly in wireless mobile tablet computers. China could have buy the Android OS or equivalent software for USD5 billion, and modify to suit local chinese computing needs.

Why China is keeping buying trillion of US dollars toilet paper is a BIG question mark ?

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Post time 2011-11-28 12:12:23 |Display all floors
The solution to solve the threat of

............Motor-O-la to Japan, Korea, Hong Kong and Singapore is simply MASS-I-MO.
This means MASS UP-I say-DANCE.

or the Mass Up, I say dance!
It's kind of serious for the North ATRS states and vital ECONOMIC forex surplus policy for Hong Kong and Singapore.

The trend has already started for these 4 states. Pedestrian friendly society in the making with ELECTRICITY as the main source of energy!

Cheerios!

Green DRagon
Game Grandmaster
Mega city with massive pedestrian traffic, saves petrol and diesel for export.jpg

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Post time 2011-11-29 12:09:32 |Display all floors
Life becomes pleasant and modern is MASSIVE PEDESTRIAN tunnel, walkway systems.

As cities are built along the tracks of the MASS RAPID TRANSIT, it's just a cool brisk walk - no need fuel guzzling vehicles. (saves the state a huge import bill too!) Mega city HOP is a popular attraction in Japan, Hong Kong and Singapore!

There is little space for the automobile in BEYOND PETROLEUM states!

Cheerios!

Green DRagon
Game Grandmaster
Tokyo's massive pedestrian tunnel.jpg

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Post time 2011-12-1 15:20:25 |Display all floors
The Japanese finds the PUBLIC TRANSPORTATION is very effective and most services, groceries, durable access is within WALKING DISTANCE from the nearest mass rapid, light rail, fast rail, medium speed rail station!

We don't need the POLLUTING AUTOMOBILE.
In fact, Japan needs to hurry up and not let Hong Kong, Singapore or even Korea to catch up with the BEYOND PETROLEUM global trend.

Cheerios!

Green DRagon
Game Grandmaster

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