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Lithium cost US$7 per kg.
So, We are talking about 100 - 125kw fuel cell pack in automobiles of 1.0 -1.2 tonnes|
Thus, about 100kg per car is needed.
The raw material itself would cost US$700/kg
and all these materials are mostly located in South America with a little in Australia and China!
So, we are talking about battery packs which cost around US$5,000 to US$10,000 for leasing!
For Korea, Japan and Germany, ability to power those LITHIUM FUEL CELLs, with a 20 minute 80% level full charge means you need dense ownership of the battery packs and quick change methodology. With such expense, only states with HIGH PETROL FUEL TAX, dense ownership would it work. It will cost around 2x or 3x the price of a petrol driven car (for untaxed fuel)
And with only 35 million tonnes lithium availability, and 30,000 tonnes being mined annually, we can produce about 300,000 vehicles annually or about 3.0 million vehicles, an ideal vehicle in city centre in combination with escalators, electric trams, mass rapid transit, and high speed inter city trains.
I guess in Germany, Japan and Korea dense city centres, strict pollution control, higher incomes, high tax on fuel, lighter electric cars, availability of electricity via nuclear, wind, or gas combined cycle plants will make this a winner!
We do expect a boom in South America once the LITHIUM VEHICLE trends starts in preparation of possible trouble as the result of the BUSH DOCTRINE in Mesopotamia. (and nervous capitals in Paris, Moscow, Ridyah and New Delhi or traditional victims of the Eastern Empire region battles!)
note: China's is the sole bidder in the Mesopotamia oil fields.
[ Last edited by greendragon at 2009-8-3 12:19 PM ]