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Will the Amerikan Regime be unable to join the new space race? [Copy link] 中文

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Post time 2008-10-5 13:53:55 |Display all floors
Looks like the situation of imploding financial situation, lack of leadership among the Amerikan Regime.

Will the Amerikans also lose out in the future industries.
The space station colony with food self sufficiency is possibly critical in deep space industry.

and Amerikan Regime might be without a PAYLOAD LAUNCHING system post 2014!


are they going to OUTSOURCE payload lauches to France, Russia or China too?


ha ha ha


Green Dragon
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Post time 2008-10-5 14:35:33 |Display all floors
Yes and no. It really depends on so many things. really.

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Post time 2008-10-6 11:22:32 |Display all floors

Reply #2 byronious's post

Well it gets complicated, mr. byronious's, i presume you are Amerikan?

Well, look at it this way, the new FIVE STAR kongfu is changing equation worldwide.
Suddenly,

(1) The Russian Federation gains friends and allies in the NEW ENERGY BLOC. This mainly refers to Russian Federation, Central Asian, Persian, Venezeula and later maybe include Brazil as well, and nominally the West leaning Arabs. They control almost 30 mbd of exportable crude oil. Their main target is to keep crude oil prices at suitable level, namely at present between US$70 to US$100 per barrel in order to finance their own state's growth while not igniting INFLATION by overpricing the commodity.

This creates pressure on the Amerikan Twin Trade Defisit, which is mainly ENERGY (from Latin America but switching to Arab sources) and CONSUMERABLEs (from mainly Asia Pacific). The Russian MILITARY BUDGET rise to US$50 billion which on PPP basis must be at least US$150 billion or half of the Amerikan non-war recurrent budget.

conclusion: Amerikan Regime needs to maintain military budget, and maintain influence among Arab states. (expect Arab states to improve alliances with the British Club and China)

(2) European Union success in increasing their MINT of the EURO. This has in effect reduce the demand of the US$. At the present moment, the ECONOMIST estimates that almost 40% of the world forex reserves is non Amerikan. (approximately 27% EURO, 5% STERLING, 3.5% YEN, 4.5% rest of the world). This means Amerikan Regime mints has to be more conservative otherwise, INFLATION brought in by overminting would be strong and the Amerikan Regime would have to resort to more frequent FINANCIAL CRISIS.

Conclusion: This would mean less big ticket items like the Aircraft carrier which cost more than US$25-30 billion to built and fit-up.

(3) China and the New Middle Kingdom. The challenges by the New Middle Kingdom which is estimated to spend up to 0.5% of it's GNP on the next frontier, Space is a big challenge to Amerikan Supremacy in the future, post 2030. At the moment China is spending around Rmb120 billion on its space programme annually. The ability to control an present hundred of billion dollar industry and in the future possibly TRILLION DOLLAR INDUSTRY is at stake.

Telecommunication, Satellite broadcasting, Earth Mapping, and in near future, Space Tourism, Space Station Hotels, and later on NO GRAVITY MANUFACTURING OF PRECIOUS MATERIALs, and DEEP SPACE MINING including COLONIZING OF MOON, to construction of space station on moon possibility (low gravitation pull means very much cheaper space station).

The Amerikan Regime would have to increase it's budget to NASA. Amerikan half hearted "man moon mission" is miserable whereas China's LONG MARCH 5, with 30 rockets a year programme with 5.2 metre, 28tonne payload programme, possibly a "stratosphere airship, passenger launch facility" or "winged aircraft passenger launch programme" is more innovative and aggressive.

(4) British Club control of the FINANCIAL, COMMODITY TRADE and EXCELLENT LOGISTIC NODEs means that British Club would need to be NEUTRAL while be the FINANCIAL SUPERMARKET of the 3 possible large minting nation.

This has an effect of improving MINTING in the European Union and later for the New Middle Kingdom two main minters, China and Japan.

(5) Arab, Central Asia and Persia. The Amerikan regime cannot afford to lose control or influence in this part of the Energy bloc which has Russian Federation as the key military protoganist. China also has the interest to provide army support if rhetorics changes into hot battle. So, MESOPOTAMIA occupation, AFGANISTAN occupation is likely to continue. This cost the Amerikan a lot of money, almost 50% more than it's normal recurrent military budget of US$390 billion...to more than US$650-700 billion.

Look like budget deficit and overminting needs to continue.


now, isn't that a handful to think about.


Green Dragon
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Post time 2008-10-6 11:31:05 |Display all floors

In the meantime, like i always say, the smallest of the 5 stars...

...the BRITISH CLUB is a known aggressive survivor. It's now pioneering FLYING WINGs with DETACHABLE rocket planes. It's also experimenting with PULSE PROPULSION engines. It would not have the capability for the SPACE STATION HOTEL which would be crucial to make tour more economical possible.


while the Amerikan Regime grapple with super expensive programme, including the ridiculously over complicated INTERNATIONAL SPACE STATION with it's myriad of system, making it such a joke, costing US$100 billion so far and too much redundant overlap technologies.

while INEFFICIENCY in it's space agency, NASA is creating super trouble, what with 3x more costly rocket launches per kg payload and even more with the super dangerous Shuttle programme. OVERENGINEERING, an Amerikan malady!



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Post time 2008-10-8 18:12:10 |Display all floors
Futurologist my arse
The American Regime would have to increase it's budget to NASA. American half hearted "man moon mission" is miserable whereas China's LONG MARCH 5, with 30 rockets a year programme with 5.2 metre, 28tonne payload programme, possibly a "stratosphere airship, passenger launch facility" or "winged aircraft passenger launch programme" is more innovative and aggressive.


That would be a truly  humiliating experience for America if China made it to the moon before we did with its superior moon landing technology. I just hope we can beat China to the moon so they don't get there first. Oh, wait, never mind, you are already 40 years too late lol

one more thing, in the English language not all "k" sounds are spelled with the letter "k". In certain words, such as America, the "c" can also make a "k" sound, just to let ya know, obviously you were ignorant of this fact.

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Post time 2008-10-9 01:21:40 |Display all floors

Its not about who made it first....

...rather than who can make it more efficiently.

Japanese cars x Japanese cars...another case of american over engineering, isn´t it?

thanks

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Post time 2008-10-9 11:43:12 |Display all floors
we will see what the future holds, won't we? For the time being, the American flag is the only flag planted on the surface of the moon. If the Chinese did manage to make it to the moon, I would say good for them. They would deserve to be proud of such an accomplishment, but that doesn't negate American accomplishments either. The only reason it would really matter anyway is if there was some economic or political benefit from moon exploration. With present technology there really isn't any, which is why the U.S. abandoned the moon after we beat the Russians to it, and why the Soviet Union never attempted to go there. It will take radical new technology to take advantage of extra terrestrial resources that will help you conquer the United States.
Seriously, I am all for a peaceful space race, it is a competition that will benefit the whole of humanity, but it is useless discussing that with a bunch of anti "Anglo" racists who only wist to see the West fall back into the dark ages.

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